sharpside
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Traders/Rank #101

gopfan2

0xf2f…5817@r_gopfan
SharpWhalePnL 1M+PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1.59Mvol $70.4M
PnL 30d+$192kgains $162k · losses $1,821
PnL 7d+$29.8kwin rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate80.9%adj 79.7% · 30d 45.0%
Open value$248kcash n/a
Positions663 / 2,047open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.5%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1.67Mbelow peak −$45.2kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

83/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale89
Adjusted win rateraw 80.9% · shrunk toward 50%99
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity79

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes79.1k25.9¢85.7¢$67.7k+$47.3k$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes91.7k29.9¢38¢$34.8k+$7,391+$619
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes191k17.2¢8.1¢$15.4k−$17.5k$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes303k3¢4.6¢$13.9k+$4,807$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No18.0k67.6¢71.5¢$12.9k+$696$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes12.2k94¢96¢$11.7k+$245$0
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes15.9k16.6¢62.5¢$9,924+$7,291+$4,851
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes11.1k67.9¢71.5¢$7,925+$395$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No6,65760.8¢94¢$6,258+$2,209+$1,009
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes57.0k2.4¢10.3¢$5,843+$4,481$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No5,00154.4¢94.5¢$4,726+$2,006+$16.6k
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes5,16272.9¢91.5¢$4,724+$960$0
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes8,69816.9¢53.5¢$4,654+$3,180$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes6,30039.5¢63.5¢$4,001+$1,511$0
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No3,74066¢96.2¢$3,598+$1,129$0
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No3,63484.9¢96.6¢$3,510+$427$0
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No3,50364.7¢94.5¢$3,310+$1,044$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,91262¢95.7¢$2,785+$980$0
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes8,51620.9¢30¢$2,555+$777+$31
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes3,20060¢79.5¢$2,544+$624$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No3,70039.2¢63.5¢$2,350+$900$0
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No2,20994.6¢98.8¢$2,181+$93−$38
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes5,53349.2¢35.5¢$1,964−$760$0
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No1,96678¢93.5¢$1,838+$305$0
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No1,65963.1¢96.3¢$1,596+$549$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No1,20074¢96.7¢$1,160+$272$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes1,21080¢91.5¢$1,107+$139$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?No1,06589.8¢97.5¢$1,038+$81$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?No1,08786¢87.5¢$951+$16$0
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?No90080¢97.5¢$877+$157$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1,00066¢87.5¢$875+$215$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?No94571¢88.7¢$838+$167$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes2,12251.5¢37.5¢$796−$296−$162
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes81774¢96.8¢$790+$186$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?No79094.9¢99.3¢$784+$34$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes1,25751¢61.5¢$773+$132$0
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes2,88011.4¢21.5¢$619+$290+$693
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No53078¢97.3¢$516+$102$0
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Yes47281¢97.7¢$460+$79$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?No51037¢90¢$459+$270$0
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes36164¢96.3¢$348+$117$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No86549.5¢36.5¢$316−$113$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No49059.3¢55.5¢$272−$19−$66
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes41659.8¢55.5¢$231−$18−$54
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No25850¢88¢$227+$98$0
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes22155.3¢91.1¢$201+$79$0
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027?No20872.8¢87¢$181+$30$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,1716.3¢7.5¢$162+$25$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes48012¢32.5¢$156+$98$0
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes1,0164.6¢13.3¢$135+$87$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes47531¢26¢$124−$24$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes93570¢8¢$75−$579$0
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027?No7063¢85¢$60+$15$0
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes3,0178.6¢1.6¢$47−$212−$80
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027?No8068¢55.5¢$44−$10$0
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?Yes72131.4¢5.5¢$39−$187$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes6053¢47.5¢$28−$3.28$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No3423¢73.5¢$25+$17$0
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?No2083¢90.6¢$18+$1.52$0
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No1670¢97¢$16+$4.31$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?No1475¢94.6¢$13+$2.74$0
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes350¢23¢$8.12+$8.12$0
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3.00M0.1¢0¢$0−$3,989−$60
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes950k0.8¢0¢$0−$7,348−$48
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes566k8.6¢0¢$0−$48.6k−$137
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes200k0.1¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes200k0.2¢0¢$0−$400$0
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes172k2.2¢0¢$0−$3,771$0
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes124k14.6¢0¢$0−$18.0k+$982
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes113k18.9¢0¢$0−$21.4k−$993
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes103k0.8¢0¢$0−$811+$2,924
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes103k9.5¢0¢$0−$9,780$0
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes100.0k7.1¢0¢$0−$7,061−$520
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes98.6k1.2¢0¢$0−$1,152−$5,815
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes90.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$90$0
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes89.9k12.1¢0¢$0−$10.9k$0
Will Chart Thai Pattana Party (CTPP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes89.5k0.7¢0¢$0−$583−$0.14
Will Democrat Party (DP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes89.5k0.7¢0¢$0−$583−$0.14
Will Kla Tham Party (KT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes89.5k0.7¢0¢$0−$583−$0.14
Will Prachachat Party (PCC) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes89.5k0.7¢0¢$0−$583−$0.14
Will United Thai Nation Party (UTN) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes89.5k0.7¢0¢$0−$583−$0.14
Will Palang Pracharath Party (PPRP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes89.5k0.7¢0¢$0−$583−$0.14
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes79.3k12.3¢0¢$0−$9,778+$1,289
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes77.2k5.9¢0¢$0−$4,586−$1.21
Jets vs. PatriotsJets75.0k14¢0¢$0−$10.5k$0
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons70.0k47.6¢0¢$0−$33.3k$0
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves63.7k47.7¢0¢$0−$30.4k$0
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes60.1k1.5¢0¢$0−$918+$0.01
Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-10-10?No60.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$60+$9,980
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance60.0k47¢0¢$0−$28.2k−$747
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?No55.0k31.1¢0¢$0−$17.1k$0
Patriots vs. BengalsBengals55.0k24¢0¢$0−$13.2k$0
Spread: Raiders (-3.5)Raiders55.0k48¢0¢$0−$26.4k$0
Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)Seahawks55.0k50¢0¢$0−$27.5k$0
Buccaneers vs. RamsBuccaneers55.0k25¢0¢$0−$13.8k$0
Vikings vs. PackersVikings55.0k29¢0¢$0−$15.9k$0
Colts vs. ChiefsColts55.0k36¢0¢$0−$19.8k$0
Jaguars vs. CardinalsCardinals55.0k46¢0¢$0−$25.3k$0
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No53.7k57.2¢0¢$0−$30.8k$0
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes53.3k53¢0¢$0−$28.3k$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?95¢19.1k$18.2k81%83WhaleSharp
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?3.8¢221$8.4881%83Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?89¢4,424$3,93781%83Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?88¢14.6k$12.8k81%83WhaleSharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?84¢21.9k$18.4k81%83WhaleSharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?75.4¢141k$106k81%83WhaleSharp
SELL YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?79¢53.2k$42.1k81%83WhaleSharp
SELL YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?81.4¢195k$159k81%83WhaleSharp
BUY NoWill an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?67¢720$48281%83Sharp
BUY NoWill an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?67¢5,304$3,55481%83Sharp
BUY YesNetanyahu out by end of 2026?51.3¢21.9k$11.3k81%83WhaleSharp
SELL NoNetanyahu out by end of 2026?51¢1,668$85181%83Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?71¢4,403$3,12681%83Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?69.5¢47.8k$33.2k81%83WhaleSharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?70¢2,151$1,50581%83Sharp
BUY NoNetanyahu out by end of 2026?53¢14.6k$7,71981%83Sharp
BUY NoMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?78¢1,966$1,53481%83Sharp
SELL NoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?95.9¢0$0.1381%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.1¢10,000$1081%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.1¢10,000$1081%83Sharp