PnL all-time−$23.8kvol $2.05M
PnL 30d+$1,425gains $3,759 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$308win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate82.9%adj 76.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$84.2kcash n/a
Positions8 / 84open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 16h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$23.2kbelow peak −$41.3kOct 11
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 82.9% · shrunk toward 50%90
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Noclosed+$4,787Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Noclosed+$4,095Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Noclosed+$3,923Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Noclosed+$3,290Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,888
Worst markets
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 58.0k | 94.3¢ | 94.5¢ | $54.8k | +$136 | +$46 | |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | No | 9,050 | 93.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $8,552 | +$76 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 5,500 | 86.2¢ | 88.5¢ | $4,868 | +$128 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | No | 4,910 | 85¢ | 84.5¢ | $4,149 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,943 | 89.3¢ | 92¢ | $3,627 | +$108 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3,790 | 83.6¢ | 87.3¢ | $3,307 | +$139 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3,300 | 84¢ | 83.5¢ | $2,756 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 2,342 | 93.1¢ | 93.5¢ | $2,190 | +$9.06 | +$53 |
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