PnL all-time−$391vol $29.2k
PnL 30d−$171gains $58 · losses $233
PnL 7d−$165win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate92.6%adj 90.9% · 30d 87.9%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions3 / 1,127open / all-time
Max drawdown−42.2%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$370below peak −$404Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 92.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity58
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 29? · Noclosed+$16Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 10? · Noclosed+$9.70Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20? · Noclosed+$7.07Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27? · Noclosed+$5.80Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 2? · Noclosed+$4.76
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7? · Noclosed−$124Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9? · Noclosed−$70Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21? · Noclosed−$50Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 20? · Noopen−$40Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26? · Noclosed−$39
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 20? | No | 49 | 36.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | −$22 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 16? | No | 27 | 94¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.07 | |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 31? | No | 2 | 85¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.70 | −$0.01 |
Recent trades
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