PnL all-time+$13vol $8,144
PnL 30d+$0.03gains $0.11 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.03win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate96.2%adj 76.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$224cash n/a
Positions4 / 30open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 35d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$14below peak −$0.99Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale16
Adjusted win rateraw 96.2% · shrunk toward 50%90
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Noclosed+$14Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? · Noclosed+$3.96Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Noclosed+$2.79Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? · Noclosed+$1.97Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Noclosed+$1.34
Worst markets
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 114 | 99.4¢ | 99.9¢ | $114 | +$0.51 | $0 | |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 110 | 99.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $110 | −$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4? | Yes | 13 | 99.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | Down | 3 | 86.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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