PnL all-time−$53.3kvol $2.43M
PnL 30d−$8,108gains $59 · losses $4,211
PnL 7d−$2,371win rate 7d 2.6%
Win rate2.6%adj 4.4% · 30d 2.6%
Open value$303cash n/a
Positions10 / 7,251open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$48.2kbelow peak −$48.2kOct 12
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 2.6% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Claude Reid win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election? · Noclosed+$23Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election? · Yesclosed+$17Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week? · Noclosed+$5.39Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? · Noclosed+$5.19Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? · Yesclosed+$2.88
Worst markets
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? · Yesclosed−$182Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? · Yesclosed−$165Phantasmal Flames Booster Box Price Over/Under $393.19 on September 30? · Overclosed−$148Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? · Noopen−$130Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yesopen−$108
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Puka Nacua have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 170 | 89¢ | 73¢ | $124 | −$27 | −$8.77 | |
| Will Alavés record 50 or more points in the 2026-27 LALIGA season? | Yes | 222 | 49¢ | 24.5¢ | $54 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? | Yes | 97 | 78¢ | 54.5¢ | $53 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | Yes | 377 | 16.6¢ | 6.7¢ | $25 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31? | Yes | 122 | 70¢ | 15¢ | $18 | −$67 | $0 | |
| Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? | Yes | 24 | 66¢ | 54¢ | $13 | −$2.88 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | Yes | 257 | 46¢ | 4.1¢ | $10 | −$108 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? | No | 170 | 77¢ | 2¢ | $3.40 | −$128 | −$2.28 | |
| Will Tony Pollard finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 60 | 5¢ | 3.2¢ | $1.92 | −$1.08 | $0 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | Yes | 2 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.29 | −$3.79 |
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