PnL all-time+$11.3kvol $389k
PnL 30d+$3,373gains $5,799 · losses $2,783
PnL 7d+$1,376win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate73.4%adj 72.5% · 30d 71.0%
Open value$248cash n/a
Positions4 / 552open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.2%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$12.5kbelow peak $0Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
80/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 73.4% · shrunk toward 50%81
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31? · Noclosed+$1,004Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 30? · Noclosed+$572Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5? · Noclosed+$566Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 9? · Noclosed+$445Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 17? · Noclosed+$368
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? · Noclosed−$1,072Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 31? · Yesclosed−$474Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2? · Noclosed−$403Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 31? · Yesclosed−$351Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 6? · Noclosed−$351
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 10? | Yes | 224 | 84.9¢ | 77.5¢ | $173 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10? | No | 565 | 64.7¢ | 13¢ | $73 | −$292 | −$0.43 | |
| Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 6 | 19¢ | 6.5¢ | $0.39 | −$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | Yes | 5 | 22¢ | 7.5¢ | $0.38 | −$0.72 | $0 |
Recent trades
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