sharpside
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RobotBeta

0xf37…c1ca
SharpWR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,583vol $117k
PnL 30d+$607gains $598 · losses $17
PnL 7d+$209win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate75.8%adj 73.2% · 30d 87.5%
Open value$15.1kcash n/a
Positions251 / 436open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.8%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$5,079below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

76/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 75.8% · shrunk toward 50%83
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?No3,69087.4¢96.9¢$3,573+$350$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes79985.4¢91.5¢$731+$49$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes71689.3¢93.5¢$670+$30$0
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes73291¢91¢$666$0$0
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?No70388.8¢94¢$661+$36+$1.41
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes72374.6¢72.5¢$524−$16+$36
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No52986.4¢94.1¢$498+$41−$23
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?No49677.4¢84.2¢$417+$33$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No39580.4¢79¢$312−$5.50$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo30091¢91.5¢$275+$1.50$0
Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No26584.2¢94.3¢$250+$27$0
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?No27380.1¢91¢$248+$30+$39
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes39091.5¢62¢$242−$115$0
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No25578¢93.5¢$239+$40$0
Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?Yes25286.8¢90.5¢$228+$9.40+$4.21
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?Yes25085.5¢89¢$223+$8.75+$21
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No24489.2¢89.5¢$218+$0.81$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?Yes23089¢94.9¢$218+$13+$1.52
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No30072¢70.5¢$212−$4.50$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes30072¢70.5¢$212−$4.50$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No25078.7¢82.3¢$205+$8.87$0
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?No21986¢92¢$202+$13−$20
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No30059¢64.5¢$194+$17$0
Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?Yes28067.9¢68¢$190+$0.40$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat?Yes19186.6¢90.5¢$173+$7.46+$20
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?Yes18187¢93.5¢$169+$12$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No20086¢81.5¢$163−$9.00$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No20079¢78.5¢$157−$1.00$0
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?Yes22056¢70.5¢$155+$32$0
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes20063¢76¢$152+$26$0
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes1,00020¢14.5¢$145−$55$0
Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No15073.7¢90¢$135+$25$0
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?No15081.7¢86¢$129+$6.50$0
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Yes32128.9¢36.5¢$117+$24+$71
Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Yes14559¢72.5¢$105+$20+$1.22
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Yes15461.3¢62.5¢$96+$1.84−$8.59
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No13078¢72.5¢$94−$7.13$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes7059¢13¢$92+$28+$56
Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes9635.7¢93.6¢$90+$55+$15
Closer Senate Race: South Dakota or New Mexico?New Mexico50020¢17.5¢$88−$13$0
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Yes30041¢28.5¢$86−$38$0
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?No13562.9¢62.5¢$84−$0.47−$8.58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5000.7¢15.5¢$77+$74$0
Will Cory Booker be the next US Senate Minority Leader?No8091¢95.9¢$77+$3.92$0
Will Patty Murray be the next US Senate Minority Leader?No6190¢95.6¢$58+$3.42$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes2008.3¢26.5¢$53+$36$0
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes27035¢19.5¢$53−$42$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes2008.3¢25¢$50+$33$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes20034¢25¢$50−$18$0
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes2502.4¢19.5¢$49+$43$0
Closer Senate Race: Kansas or Nebraska?Nebraska9645.5¢41.5¢$40−$3.83$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Yes12732.4¢30.5¢$39−$2.40+$13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo9455¢38.5¢$36−$15−$2.81
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?No3888.5¢93.5¢$35+$1.88+$7.41
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 12%-15%?Yes2008.3¢17.6¢$35+$19$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5000.7¢6.3¢$32+$28$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5000.7¢5.9¢$30+$26$0
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes1000.7¢29.5¢$29+$29$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes40934¢6.5¢$27−$113+$24
Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?Yes13914¢19¢$26+$6.94$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes2008.3¢13¢$26+$9.33$0
Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes521.3¢49.5¢$26+$25$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No2582¢78.5¢$20−$0.87$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination?Yes2860.7¢6.9¢$20+$18$0
Will Mark Kelly be the next US Senate Minority Leader?No2089¢94¢$19+$1.00$0
Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢6.3¢$18+$16$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?No2093¢87.1¢$17−$1.19$0
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes20511¢8.5¢$17−$5.02$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5000.7¢3.5¢$17+$14$0
Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢6¢$17+$15$0
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes2032¢78.5¢$16+$9.30$0
Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes521.3¢29¢$15+$14$0
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢5.1¢$15+$13$0
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢5.1¢$15+$13$0
Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢5¢$14+$12$0
Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢4.5¢$13+$11$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5000.7¢2.5¢$12+$8.52$0
Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢4.2¢$12+$9.93$0
Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢4.1¢$12+$9.64$0
Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢4¢$11+$9.21$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 15%-18%?Yes2008.3¢5.4¢$11−$5.87$0
Will Chris Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢3.5¢$10+$7.92$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3% or more?Yes2008.3¢5¢$9.90−$6.77$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5000.7¢2¢$9.75+$6.02$0
Will the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat?Yes1088¢96.9¢$9.69+$0.89+$27
Will Gina Raimondo be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢3.4¢$9.59+$7.49$0
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?No1065¢95.1¢$9.51+$3.01+$103
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes1320.7¢6.9¢$9.02+$8.06+$16
Will LeBron James be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢3.1¢$8.73+$6.63$0
Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢2.9¢$8.44+$6.35$0
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes2502.4¢3.4¢$8.38+$2.25$0
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢2.8¢$7.87+$5.78$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5000.7¢1.4¢$6.75+$3.02$0
Will J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes248.6¢28.5¢$6.74+$4.69$0
Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢2.3¢$6.58+$4.49$0
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?No773¢91¢$6.51+$1.29−$6.25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 21% or more?Yes2008.3¢3.2¢$6.40−$10$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5000.7¢1.3¢$6.25+$2.52$0
Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes2860.7¢2.2¢$6.15+$4.06$0
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes2006.5¢3.1¢$6.10−$6.90$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?33¢5$1.6576%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?65¢80$5276%76Sharp
BUY YesSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?28.7¢161$4676%76Sharp
BUY YesSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?28¢65$1876%76Sharp
BUY YesSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?29.7¢90$2776%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?53¢20$1176%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?86¢905$77876%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?56¢220$12376%76Sharp
BUY NoSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?90¢133$11976%76Sharp
BUY NoSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?95¢50$4876%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Cory Booker be the next US Senate Minority Leader?91¢80$7376%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Patty Murray be the next US Senate Minority Leader?90¢61$5576%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Mark Kelly be the next US Senate Minority Leader?89¢20$1876%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?71¢175$12476%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 24, 2026?76¢20$1576%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 24, 2026?76¢41$3176%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?84.4¢179$15176%76Sharp
BUY NoSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?95.7¢154$14776%76Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?32¢482$15476%76Sharp
SELL NoWill the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?99.9¢50$5076%76Sharp