PnL all-time$0vol $110k
PnL 30d+$2,060gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$356win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$101kcash n/a
Positions9 / 9open / all-time
Max drawdown−24.5%of equity peak
Account age40dlast trade 35d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3,732below peak −$560Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
17/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable32
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity76
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Nothing hereNo losing markets recorded — or not enough history.
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 48.2k | 93.1¢ | 96.5¢ | $46.5k | +$1,637 | $0 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 16.5k | 87.5¢ | 92¢ | $15.1k | +$739 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 17.8k | 78.2¢ | 80.5¢ | $14.3k | +$405 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 7,845 | 93¢ | 96.8¢ | $7,590 | +$294 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 7,921 | 84¢ | 88.5¢ | $7,010 | +$356 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 5,989 | 83¢ | 84.5¢ | $5,061 | +$90 | $0 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 3,200 | 93.4¢ | 95.5¢ | $3,056 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 2,804 | 75.9¢ | 81¢ | $2,272 | +$142 | $0 | |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 155 | 95¢ | 95.5¢ | $148 | +$0.78 | $0 |
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