Traders/Unranked

SuperTests

0xf3f…7be3

SharpPnL 10k+WR 60+CryptoOtherPolitics

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$10.9kvol $707k

PnL 30d+$6,535gains $22.2k · losses $15.5k

PnL 7d+$1,106win rate 7d 60.3%

Win rate60.2%adj 59.8% · 30d 60.2%

Open value$43.2kcash n/a

Positions773 / 1,273open / all-time

Max drawdown−1.1%of equity peak

Account age3molast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$13.6kbelow peak $0Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

73/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58

Adjusted win rateraw 60.2% · shrunk toward 50%49

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? · Noopen+$1,984 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,823 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yesclosed+$1,768 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,341 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$1,172

Worst markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Noclosed−$1,449 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,215 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Noopen−$1,048 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Noopen−$850 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yesopen−$848

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	2,662	68.9¢	77.5¢	$2,063	+$230	−$29	4mo
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	2,249	70¢	70.5¢	$1,585	+$11	−$123	15mo
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	857	85.6¢	88.5¢	$758	+$25	$0	3mo
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	774	84¢	86.8¢	$672	+$22	$0	3mo
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	600	97.4¢	97.2¢	$583	−$1.50	$0	3mo
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	No	1,067	50.7¢	52¢	$555	+$14	$0	8mo
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	889	51.9¢	61¢	$542	+$81	−$0.72	3mo
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	654	77.7¢	81.5¢	$533	+$25	−$201	3mo
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	485	81.8¢	95.5¢	$463	+$66	−$36	3mo
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	1,310	28.4¢	34.5¢	$452	+$79	+$6.53	15mo
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	747	39.2¢	60¢	$448	+$156	+$55	15mo
QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	587	72.4¢	74.5¢	$437	+$12	−$28	15mo
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	584	48.4¢	73.5¢	$429	+$146	+$33	ended
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	646	52.3¢	65.5¢	$423	+$85	−$0.62	3mo
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	949	35.9¢	43¢	$408	+$67	+$44	15mo
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	435	86.4¢	92.2¢	$401	+$25	−$86	3mo
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	580	61.3¢	68.5¢	$398	+$42	−$7.29	12mo
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	1,467	27.7¢	27¢	$396	−$9.81	+$39	5mo
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	459	69.3¢	84.5¢	$388	+$70	−$4.28	20d 5h
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	422	85¢	90.5¢	$382	+$23	−$88	3mo
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?	No	379	92.8¢	93.5¢	$354	+$2.68	−$69	3mo
QFEX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	413	79.9¢	83¢	$343	+$13	−$27	15mo
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	379	85.1¢	90.3¢	$342	+$19	−$27	3mo
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	371	81.5¢	89.5¢	$332	+$30	−$41	15mo
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	351	89.1¢	93.6¢	$329	+$16	−$865	3mo
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	Yes	1,650	14.7¢	19¢	$314	+$71	+$540	15mo
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	364	88¢	84.5¢	$308	−$13	$0	15mo
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	499	43.5¢	60.5¢	$302	+$85	+$11	15mo
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	No	357	84.2¢	84¢	$300	−$0.77	−$117	15mo
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	872	39.8¢	34¢	$297	−$51	+$73	6mo
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?	No	300	89¢	98¢	$294	+$27	$0	3mo
Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	363	86.1¢	80¢	$290	−$22	−$34	15mo
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	291	78¢	97.2¢	$283	+$56	$0	15mo
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?	Yes	678	40.1¢	38.5¢	$261	−$11	$0	7mo
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	373	66.6¢	66.5¢	$248	−$0.44	−$36	3mo
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	269	87.8¢	90.5¢	$243	+$7.20	$0	3mo
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	251	88.7¢	96.5¢	$242	+$19	$0	15mo
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?	Yes	355	63.4¢	68¢	$241	+$16	−$24	14mo
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	405	51.2¢	59.5¢	$241	+$33	+$1.49	15mo
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	294	56.7¢	81¢	$238	+$71	−$35	3mo
Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	534	61.4¢	44¢	$235	−$93	$0	3mo
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	243	93.8¢	96.1¢	$234	+$5.69	$0	3mo
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of November 2026?	Yes	255	87¢	91.5¢	$233	+$11	−$9.39	50d 5h
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	246	81.5¢	90.5¢	$223	+$22	−$122	15mo
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?	No	261	76.3¢	84.5¢	$221	+$22	−$29	3mo
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	No	404	46¢	54.5¢	$220	+$34	−$28	9mo
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026?	No	361	53.1¢	60.5¢	$218	+$27	−$3.87	50d 5h
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	276	69.6¢	79¢	$218	+$26	−$30	3mo
Base FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	652	30.2¢	32.5¢	$212	+$15	$0	15mo
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	216	58.1¢	93¢	$201	+$76	−$8.07	20d 5h
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	252	77.6¢	79.5¢	$200	+$4.84	$0	15mo
Will LI.FI launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	222	90¢	89.5¢	$199	−$1.11	−$89	9mo
QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	367	54¢	54¢	$198	+$0.03	−$1.30	15mo
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?	No	200	97.5¢	98¢	$196	+$1.03	−$24	3mo
Multipli.fi FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	355	55.4¢	52.5¢	$186	−$10	−$8.08	15mo
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?	No	190	85.9¢	97.8¢	$186	+$23	$0	3mo
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% before 2027?	No	206	72.6¢	90¢	$185	+$36	−$10	3mo
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?	No	185	91.1¢	98.8¢	$183	+$14	−$110	3mo
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?	No	200	65.6¢	89.5¢	$179	+$48	−$134	3mo
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	No	189	79.1¢	92¢	$174	+$24	−$243	3mo
Tori FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	200	81¢	84.5¢	$169	+$7.00	$0	15mo
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	215	79¢	78.5¢	$169	−$1.11	−$86	3mo
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	229	71.9¢	73.7¢	$169	+$4.00	−$8.58	15mo
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	401	44.5¢	41.5¢	$166	−$12	$0	20d 5h
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?	No	170	86.1¢	96.5¢	$164	+$18	$0	3mo
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $500B by December 31?	No	168	93¢	96.4¢	$162	+$5.71	−$14	3mo
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	No	178	79.1¢	90.5¢	$161	+$20	−$21	3mo
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	441	43.8¢	36¢	$159	−$34	−$67	15mo
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	165	88.9¢	94¢	$155	+$8.37	−$325	3mo
Valantis FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	180	80¢	85.5¢	$154	+$9.90	$0	15mo
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	No	180	78¢	84.5¢	$152	+$12	−$241	4mo
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	160	80.4¢	94.3¢	$151	+$22	$0	3mo
SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	172	83¢	87.5¢	$151	+$7.81	$0	15mo
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	857	20.4¢	17.5¢	$150	−$25	+$79	3mo
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?	No	200	75¢	75¢	$150	$0	$0	20d 5h
Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	241	57.2¢	62¢	$149	+$12	−$12	15mo
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	347	38¢	42.5¢	$147	+$16	+$20	49d 5h
Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	160	56.4¢	91.1¢	$145	+$55	$0	15mo
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?	Yes	222	61.2¢	65¢	$145	+$8.52	−$14	13mo
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $144 in October?	No	154	72.5¢	93.5¢	$144	+$32	−$34	20d 5h
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	282	57.5¢	50.5¢	$142	−$20	−$98	13d 5h
Beezie FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	163	79.7¢	86.5¢	$141	+$11	−$39	15mo
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	202	82.1¢	69.4¢	$140	−$26	−$65	15mo
Hotstuff FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	172	79¢	81.5¢	$140	+$4.30	−$36	15mo
Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	161	88¢	85¢	$137	−$4.78	$0	15mo
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	150	84¢	88.5¢	$133	+$6.75	$0	3mo
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	159	81.6¢	83¢	$132	+$2.26	−$69	3mo
Will Bloomberg IPO by June 30, 2027?	No	149	81¢	88.5¢	$132	+$11	−$16	9mo
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	329	65.7¢	40¢	$131	−$84	−$7.42	15mo
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	145	84.7¢	90¢	$130	+$7.61	−$84	3mo
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	531	26¢	24.5¢	$130	−$8.23	+$132	3mo
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?	No	198	60.4¢	65.5¢	$130	+$10	−$4.63	3mo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	150	70.9¢	85.5¢	$128	+$22	−$127	3mo
3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	180	57¢	70.5¢	$127	+$24	$0	15mo
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	150	77¢	84.5¢	$127	+$11	$0	15mo
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	No	136	87¢	92.5¢	$126	+$7.48	−$43	3mo
Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	314	49.1¢	40¢	$126	−$28	+$0.83	15mo
APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	170	70.8¢	73¢	$124	+$3.81	−$32	15mo
Will Tuyo launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	180	68.6¢	68.5¢	$123	−$0.20	$0	6mo
StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	266	53¢	46¢	$122	−$19	−$4.52	3mo

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
4h ago	BUY No	Tori FDV above $300M one day after launch?	81¢	200	$162	60%	73	Sharp
4h ago	BUY Yes	Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?	17¢	200	$34	60%	73	Sharp
4h ago	BUY Yes	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of November 2026?	85¢	60	$51	60%	73	Sharp
4h ago	BUY Yes	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	8.5¢	180	$15	60%	73	Sharp
4h ago	BUY Yes	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	8.1¢	40	$3.24	60%	73	Sharp
4h ago	BUY No	Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?	81¢	45	$36	60%	73	Sharp
4h ago	BUY Yes	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	44¢	80	$35	60%	73	Sharp
5h ago	BUY Yes	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of November 2026?	87¢	40	$35	60%	73	Sharp
5h ago	BUY No	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of November 2026?	14¢	25	$3.50	60%	73	Sharp
5h ago	BUY Yes	Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1505 by June 30, 2027?	29¢	35	$10	60%	73	Sharp
6h ago	BUY Yes	Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?	59¢	50	$30	60%	73	Sharp
6h ago	BUY Yes	Will Colorado State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	65¢	150	$98	60%	73	Sharp
6h ago	BUY No	Will Colorado State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	38¢	180	$68	60%	73	Sharp
6h ago	BUY No	Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?	77¢	106	$82	60%	73	Sharp
6h ago	BUY No	Will XRP hit $2 by September 30, 2027?	53¢	15	$7.95	60%	73	Sharp
6h ago	BUY No	Will XRP hit $2 by September 30, 2027?	52¢	15	$7.80	60%	73	Sharp
7h ago	BUY Yes	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	83¢	20	$17	60%	73	Sharp
12h ago	BUY Yes	Will Indiana have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	74¢	99	$73	60%	73	Sharp
12h ago	BUY No	Will Indiana have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	36¢	99	$36	60%	73	Sharp
13h ago	BUY No	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	95¢	45	$43	60%	73	Sharp