sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

topchews

0xf42…15e1
WR 70+WR 60+OtherWeatherSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,336vol $54.6k
PnL 30d−$3.68gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2.12win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate76.6%adj 68.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,913cash n/a
Positions16 / 63open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.9%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 41d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,344below peak −$865Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale50
Adjusted win rateraw 76.6% · shrunk toward 50%72
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity69

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 16

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Yes2,53367.1¢100¢$2,533+$832−$3.21
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Yes24880.6¢100¢$248+$48$0
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes12282.2¢100¢$122+$22$0
Next Mythos-Class Model released by October 31, 2026?Yes895.1¢100¢$7.89+$0.39$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?Yes5518¢4.1¢$2.25−$7.64$0
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes63133.6¢0¢$0−$212−$224
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No52579¢0¢$0−$415−$1.26
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?Yes28245.2¢0¢$0−$127$0
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?Yes26127.2¢0¢$0−$71−$1.49
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?Yes5423.2¢0¢$0−$12−$110
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No5155.1¢0¢$0−$28−$34
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?Yes3416.6¢0¢$0−$5.65$0
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes1339.8¢0¢$0−$5.00−$1,296
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?No679.6¢0¢$0−$4.51−$66
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?Yes414.7¢0¢$0−$0.54−$53
Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?Yes220.4¢0¢$0−$0.45−$30

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?3¢30$0.9077%47
SELL YesNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?6.6¢10$0.6677%47
SELL YesNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?5.1¢16$0.8277%47
SELL YesNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?7.1¢25$1.7777%47
SELL YesNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?31¢15$4.6577%47
SELL YesNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?35¢19$6.6777%47
SELL YesNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?22¢205$4577%47
SELL YesNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?23¢159$3777%47
SELL YesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by August 31, 2026?2.3¢151$3.4577%47
SELL YesWill the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?9¢185$1777%47
BUY YesNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?58.7¢170$10077%47
BUY YesNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?57¢328$18777%47
BUY YesNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?30.3¢300$9177%47
BUY YesNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?30¢100$3077%47
BUY YesWill the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?10.8¢185$2077%47
BUY YesWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by August 31, 2026?19.9¢151$3077%47
BUY NoWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?77.1¢178$13777%47
BUY NoWill Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?79¢50$3977%47
SELL YesWill Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?39¢20$7.8077%47
BUY YesWill Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?57.3¢106$6177%47