sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #15,828

quick-turtle

0xf43…c6aa
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCultureSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$9,201vol $1.07M
PnL 30d−$11gains $133 · losses $0.04
PnL 7d−$13win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate91.5%adj 89.8% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions21 / 846open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 8h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$9,105below peak −$10.1kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 91.5% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 21

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No6,31092.9¢0¢$0−$5,861+$14
US strikes Iraq by February 28?No1,81895.3¢0¢$0−$1,732−$489
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes1,07697.2¢0¢$0−$1,045−$1,447
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?No1,00497.4¢0¢$0−$978−$58
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?Yes89411.4¢0¢$0−$102$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No75789.7¢0¢$0−$679+$27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes27760.5¢0¢$0−$168$0
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev2091¢0¢$0−$2.09−$0.06
Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?Yes11324¢0¢$0−$27$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Yes10796.8¢0¢$0−$103−$24
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)Israel Adesanya7250.2¢0¢$0−$36$0
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Yadong3771¢0¢$0−$26$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No3491.7¢0¢$0−$31−$814
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?No2820¢0¢$0−$5.60$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Yes1497.3¢0¢$0−$14−$1,311
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Dvalishvili1478¢0¢$0−$11−$7.39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes1314¢0¢$0−$1.82$0
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?No1294.6¢0¢$0−$11$0
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)Moreno940¢0¢$0−$3.60$0
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?Yes639¢0¢$0−$2.34$0
Will Frankenstein win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes23¢0¢$0−$0.05−$1.13

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?2.3¢44$1.0192%45
SELL YesIran leadership change by December 31?10¢123$1292%45
SELL NoZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?93¢68$6392%45
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?95.4¢690$65992%45
SELL NoWill AI be charged with a crime before 2027?94.1¢100$9492%45
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?75¢2$1.4692%45
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?94¢142$13392%45
SELL NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?95.2¢141$13492%45
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?95¢413$39292%45
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?95¢88$8492%45
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?94¢1$0.6492%45
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?94¢1$1.4092%45
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?94¢2$2.2092%45
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?94¢3$2.3592%45
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?94¢2$1.6892%45
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?94¢0$0.2492%45
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?94¢1$1.1092%45
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?94¢3$2.7292%45
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?94¢2$1.5092%45
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?94¢2$1.7992%45