sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

Semen-Demon

0xf44…2747
1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$18.2kvol $886k
PnL 30d−$544gains $348 · losses $12
PnL 7d−$330win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate46.5%adj 47.1% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$4,413cash n/a
Positions25 / 126open / all-time
Max drawdown−28.8%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 15h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$19.9kbelow peak −$5,355Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 46.5% · shrunk toward 50%18
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity71

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 25

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,87836¢36.5¢$1,050+$14−$8.34
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes16.2k11.1¢6.3¢$1,013−$794−$8.43
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes16.1k5.5¢5.1¢$820−$62−$4.84
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes6,97114.6¢9¢$627−$392−$26
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes16.4k4¢2¢$320−$342−$2.02
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes12.8k2.9¢1.4¢$173−$201−$32
Blue wave in 2026?No1,02815.1¢13.5¢$139−$16−$8.81
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?Yes1,01612.7¢9.5¢$97−$33$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes10.9k2.5¢0.7¢$76−$193−$129
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?Yes1,0227.3¢6.2¢$63−$12$0
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes6383.3¢2.9¢$18−$2.86$0
Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?Yes6335.1¢22.5¢$14−$7.96$0
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes1963.5¢0.8¢$1.47−$5.42$0
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes533.6¢1.8¢$0.96−$0.95−$1.10
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?Yes5,22518¢0¢$0−$941−$838
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?Yes1,40444.8¢0¢$0−$628+$1.12
Spread: Lions (-2.5)Lions1,14042¢0¢$0−$479$0
Thunder vs. SpursThunder1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes30041.7¢0¢$0−$125−$3.65
Broncos vs. EaglesEagles22166¢0¢$0−$146$0
Spread: Packers (-7.5)Bears11345¢0¢$0−$51−$0.04
Brock Purdy: 2+ TouchdownsYes1003¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Bo Nix: 2+ TouchdownsYes1002.5¢0¢$0−$2.50$0
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over10033¢0¢$0−$33−$1.11
Lions vs. EaglesLions3244¢0¢$0−$14$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY BearsSpread: Packers (-7.5)45¢5$2.2547%35
SELL YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢145$5247%35
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢283$10247%35
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢16$5.7647%35
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢2,723$98047%35
BUY LionsSpread: Lions (-2.5)42¢1,140$47947%35
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?32¢1,545$49447%35
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?33¢9$2.9747%35
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?33¢1,536$50747%35
BUY OverBroncos vs. 49ers: O/U 26.562¢519$32247%35
SELL 49ersSpread: 49ers (-2.5)71¢460$32747%35
BUY 49ersSpread: 49ers (-2.5)55¢460$25347%35
SELL ColtsSpread: Colts (-13.5)64¢396$25347%35
BUY ColtsSpread: Colts (-13.5)58¢17$9.6347%35
SELL ColtsSpread: Colts (-2.5)85¢270$23047%35
SELL 49ersSpread: 49ers (-2.5)53¢330$17547%35
BUY 49ersSpread: 49ers (-2.5)53¢330$17547%35
BUY YesBo Nix: 2+ Touchdowns2.5¢100$2.5047%35
BUY YesBrock Purdy: 2+ Touchdowns3¢100$3.0047%35
SELL YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?35¢533$18747%35