PnL all-time−$11.6kvol $916k
PnL 30d+$8,348gains $240 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$3.37win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate88.5%adj 86.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$2,907cash n/a
Positions3 / 298open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 6d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$11.6kbelow peak −$12.6kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 88.5% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d78
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Noclosed+$830US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Noclosed+$737Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Noclosed+$605Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Noclosed+$489Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Noclosed+$449
Worst markets
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · Noclosed−$5,308Pavel Durov released in August? · Noclosed−$3,935Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$3,561Pavel Durov released before October? · Noclosed−$2,918Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Noclosed−$2,470
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 2,160 | 97.6¢ | 97.7¢ | $2,110 | +$2.06 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? | No | 409 | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | $405 | +$0.19 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 398 | 98.2¢ | 98.6¢ | $392 | +$1.59 | $0 |
Recent trades
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