sharpside
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Traders/Rank #18,747

0xf45…8ff9

0xf45…8ff9
Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$5,932vol $1.42M
PnL 30d−$4,716gains $2,779 · losses $2,453
PnL 7d−$170win rate 7d 31.6%
Win rate57.0%adj 56.6% · 30d 38.6%
Open value$423cash n/a
Positions209 / 562open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$3,736below peak −$7,368Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 57.0% · shrunk toward 50%42
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Yes40056¢72¢$288+$64$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Yes1,00138.4¢8.5¢$85−$299$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes3879¢8.9¢$34−$0.26−$5.82
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes84531.7¢1.9¢$16−$252$0
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Yes868.1¢0.1¢$0.04−$6.92+$0.59
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes45.2k0.7¢0¢$0−$325−$16
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Yes25.3k0.3¢0¢$0−$73−$8.99
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes18.2k2.6¢0¢$0−$468+$62
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?Yes17.3k0.5¢0¢$0−$82$0
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes15.7k2¢0¢$0−$307−$15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Yes13.5k0.3¢0¢$0−$38−$1.62
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$107
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$1,500
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$107
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$107
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$107
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$107
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$107
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$107
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$107
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$107
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$107
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$107
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$107
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$107
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes10.3k1.1¢0¢$0−$111−$4.71
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes10.0k4.1¢0¢$0−$413−$207
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes9,4600.5¢0¢$0−$47−$2.35
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes7,2180.7¢0¢$0−$48−$2.25
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?Yes6,4010.9¢0¢$0−$55−$2.72
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes5,9900.9¢0¢$0−$51−$3.19
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?Yes5,9880.5¢0¢$0−$31−$1.54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes5,8862.2¢0¢$0−$130−$6.17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes5,40026.9¢0¢$0−$1,454+$125
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes5,31718.4¢0¢$0−$976+$47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes5,2500.3¢0¢$0−$17−$158
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes5,1102.9¢0¢$0−$148−$7.18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Yes5,0850.5¢0¢$0−$28+$10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Yes5,0807.7¢0¢$0−$393+$8.44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Yes5,0420.5¢0¢$0−$25−$1.23
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes5,0000.2¢0¢$0−$10+$69
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes5,0000.2¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?Yes4,60713.7¢0¢$0−$632−$150
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes4,4381.2¢0¢$0−$54−$2.64
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes4,0032.3¢0¢$0−$93−$4.53
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?Yes3,9246.7¢0¢$0−$262−$12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?Yes3,8633.5¢0¢$0−$134+$26
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?Yes3,7886.1¢0¢$0−$233−$3.14
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Yes3,6331.9¢0¢$0−$68−$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes3,34712.6¢0¢$0−$422+$262
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes3,32227.3¢0¢$0−$908−$307
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes3,2030.9¢0¢$0−$29−$1.45
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes3,0000.6¢0¢$0−$19−$35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes2,98627.1¢0¢$0−$809$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes2,98510.9¢0¢$0−$325−$726
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes2,9725.1¢0¢$0−$153−$55
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes2,76618.1¢0¢$0−$500+$431
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes2,6002.5¢0¢$0−$66$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes2,5500¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?Yes2,5000.7¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes2,4891.2¢0¢$0−$29−$11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?Yes2,4234.2¢0¢$0−$102−$62
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes2,28216.4¢0¢$0−$375−$87
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes2,2541.9¢0¢$0−$43+$33
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?Yes2,1637.7¢0¢$0−$166−$7.52
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes2,14913.2¢0¢$0−$285−$211
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes2,10713.1¢0¢$0−$275−$3.78
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?Yes2,10616.2¢0¢$0−$341−$164
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes2,07510.1¢0¢$0−$210−$119
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes2,0634.8¢0¢$0−$98−$4.64
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes2,0223.2¢0¢$0−$64$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes2,0000.1¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes2,0000.3¢0¢$0−$6.00−$0.30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes2,0000.5¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.50
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes2,0006.9¢0¢$0−$139−$20
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Yes2,0002.6¢0¢$0−$52+$1.28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?Yes1,80020.8¢0¢$0−$375$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Yes1,5952.4¢0¢$0−$39+$122
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes1,52521.6¢0¢$0−$330−$253
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes1,5238.1¢0¢$0−$124−$4.04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?Yes1,50013.2¢0¢$0−$197−$2.18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes1,4482.2¢0¢$0−$32+$5.47
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Yes1,38713.9¢0¢$0−$193−$152
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes1,3201.9¢0¢$0−$25−$1.25
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes1,3102.3¢0¢$0−$31−$4.24

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?12.2¢39$4.7257%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?69¢10$6.9057%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?66¢60$3957%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?65¢102$6657%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?65¢20$1357%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?65¢130$8557%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?66¢115$7657%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?7.8¢131$1057%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?7.7¢14$1.0757%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?7.1¢36$2.5457%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?7¢4$0.2757%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?6.9¢22$1.5057%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?6¢572$3457%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?5.9¢196$1157%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?63¢145$9157%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?57¢100$5757%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?56¢50$2857%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?56¢7$3.9257%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?56¢147$8257%36
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?55¢96$5357%36