Traders/Rank #6,991

horse-trader

0xf48…67c8

Sport

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$930vol $261k

PnL 30d+$826gains $1,932 · losses $1,890

PnL 7d+$82win rate 7d 0.0%

Win rate50.8%adj 50.8% · 30d 50.8%

Open value$626cash n/a

Positions94 / 594open / all-time

Max drawdown−42.8%of equity peak

Account age5molast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,936below peak −$13Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale42

Adjusted win rateraw 50.8% · shrunk toward 50%27

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity57

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yesopen+$124 United States vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5 · Overclosed+$45 India vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5 · Overclosed+$33 Estonia vs. Luxembourg: O/U 1.5 · Underclosed+$32 Russia vs. Namibia: O/U 3.5 · Overclosed+$31

Worst markets

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 6.5 · Overopen−$213 United States vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5 · Underclosed−$49 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yesopen−$37 India vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5 · Underclosed−$36 Russia vs. Namibia: O/U 3.5 · Underclosed−$34

Open positions · 94

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	11.9k	3¢	4.1¢	$480	+$124	$0	3mo
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	126	81.3¢	80.5¢	$102	−$1.00	$0	2h 42m
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	2,182	3.7¢	2.1¢	$45	−$37	$0	18d 2h
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 6.5	Over	402	35.8¢	0¢	$0	−$144	−$69	ended
Belgium vs. France: O/U 3.5	Over	77	39¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.92	ended
Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5	Under	73	30.6¢	0¢	$0	−$22	$0	ended
Belgium vs. France: O/U 4.5	Over	48	21¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.40	ended
CD Leganés vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5	Over	25	57.2¢	0¢	$0	−$14	$0	ended
Mozambique vs. Sudan: O/U 4.5	Under	20	50¢	0¢	$0	−$10	$0	ended
Burundi vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5	Under	20	15¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	$0	ended
Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5	Under	20	48.5¢	0¢	$0	−$9.68	$0	ended
ADO Den Haag vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: 1st Half O/U 3.5	Over	17	10¢	0¢	$0	−$1.73	−$1.55	ended
ADO Den Haag vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	16	4¢	0¢	$0	−$0.65	−$1.39	ended
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	15	30¢	0¢	$0	−$4.50	$0	ended
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-5.5)	Feyenoord Rotterdam	12	79¢	0¢	$0	−$9.48	$0	ended
Russia vs. Namibia: O/U 1.5	Under	11	23.9¢	0¢	$0	−$2.52	$0	ended
Bahamas vs. US Virgin Islands: O/U 6.5	Over	10	3¢	0¢	$0	−$0.30	$0	ended
Türkiye vs. Italy: O/U 6.5	Over	10	38.3¢	0¢	$0	−$3.83	$0	ended
CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5	Over	10	8¢	0¢	$0	−$0.80	$0	ended
CD Leganés vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5	Over	10	17.5¢	0¢	$0	−$1.75	$0	ended
Internacional de Bogotá vs. Once Caldas: O/U 6.5	Over	10	4.8¢	0¢	$0	−$0.48	$0	ended
Puerto Rico vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 7.5	Over	10	3.2¢	0¢	$0	−$0.32	$0	ended
Dominica vs. Guyana: O/U 6.5	Over	10	3.5¢	0¢	$0	−$0.35	$0	ended
Will Northern Ireland vs. Hungary end in a draw?	No	10	54.5¢	0¢	$0	−$5.45	$0	ended
Belize vs. French Guiana: O/U 4.5	Over	10	8¢	0¢	$0	−$0.80	$0	ended
Cayman Islands vs. Puerto Rico: O/U 6.5	Over	10	4¢	0¢	$0	−$0.40	$0	ended
Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Deportivo Pereira: O/U 6.5	Over	10	7.5¢	0¢	$0	−$0.75	$0	ended
Senegal vs. Comoros: O/U 3.5	Over	9	17.9¢	0¢	$0	−$1.64	$0	ended
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-09-09?	No	8	50¢	0¢	$0	−$4.22	−$0.11	ended
NEC vs. Go Ahead Eagles: 1st Half O/U 4.5	Over	7	26.3¢	0¢	$0	−$1.73	$0	ended
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Celta Fortuna: O/U 2.5	Under	6	19¢	0¢	$0	−$1.20	$0	ended
Malta vs. Gibraltar: O/U 4.5	Over	5	6¢	0¢	$0	−$0.30	$0	ended
Kansas City Current vs. Bay FC: O/U 2.5	Under	5	25¢	0¢	$0	−$1.25	$0	ended
Canada vs. Peru: O/U 4.5	Over	5	4¢	0¢	$0	−$0.20	$0	ended
Turks and Caicos Islands vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5	Over	5	3¢	0¢	$0	−$0.15	$0	ended
UD Almería vs. Burgos CF: O/U 5.5	Over	5	4¢	0¢	$0	−$0.20	$0	ended
Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 5.5	Over	5	14¢	0¢	$0	−$0.70	$0	ended
AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5	Over	5	77¢	0¢	$0	−$3.85	$0	ended
Northern Ireland vs. Hungary: O/U 0.5	Over	5	67¢	0¢	$0	−$3.35	$0	ended
Manchester City WFC vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino: O/U 1.5	Under	5	14¢	0¢	$0	−$0.70	$0	ended
AA Estudiantes vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5	Under	5	17¢	0¢	$0	−$0.85	$0	ended
Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5	Under	5	4¢	0¢	$0	−$0.20	$0	ended
AA Estudiantes vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5	Over	5	15¢	0¢	$0	−$0.75	$0	ended
Internacional de Bogotá vs. Once Caldas: O/U 4.5	Over	5	5¢	0¢	$0	−$0.25	$0	ended
Cayman Islands vs. Puerto Rico: O/U 1.5	Under	5	26¢	0¢	$0	−$1.30	$0	ended
CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5	Over	5	3¢	0¢	$0	−$0.15	$0	ended
CA Bucaramanga vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 7.5	Over	5	8.2¢	0¢	$0	−$0.41	$0	ended
Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 0.5	Under	5	8¢	0¢	$0	−$0.40	$0	ended
Mozambique vs. Sudan: O/U 3.5	Under	5	73¢	0¢	$0	−$3.65	$0	ended
Mozambique vs. Sudan: O/U 1.5	Under	5	22¢	0¢	$0	−$1.10	$0	ended
Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5	Over	5	4¢	0¢	$0	−$0.20	$0	ended
Internacional de Bogotá vs. Once Caldas: O/U 5.5	Over	5	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$0.19	$0	ended
Almere City FC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 7.5	Over	5	3¢	0¢	$0	−$0.15	$0	ended
UD Almería vs. Burgos CF: O/U 4.5	Over	5	5¢	0¢	$0	−$0.25	$0	ended
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Cameroon: O/U 0.5	Under	5	27¢	0¢	$0	−$1.35	$0	ended
Senegal vs. Comoros: O/U 5.5	Over	5	6¢	0¢	$0	−$0.30	$0	ended
Deportivo Moron vs. CA All Boys: O/U 3.5	Over	5	8¢	0¢	$0	−$0.40	$0	ended
CA Bucaramanga vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 6.5	Over	5	7¢	0¢	$0	−$0.35	$0	ended
ADO Den Haag vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	5	74¢	0¢	$0	−$3.70	$0	ended
Türkiye vs. Italy: O/U 5.5	Over	5	75¢	0¢	$0	−$3.75	$0	ended
Dominica vs. Guyana: O/U 0.5	Under	5	5¢	0¢	$0	−$0.25	$0	ended
India vs. Brazil: O/U 7.5	Over	5	5¢	0¢	$0	−$0.25	$0	ended
Mozambique vs. Sudan: O/U 2.5	Under	5	61¢	0¢	$0	−$3.05	$0	ended
Athletic Club vs. SC Recife: O/U 6.5	Over	5	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$0.28	$0	ended
Athletic Club vs. SC Recife: O/U 7.5	Over	5	3¢	0¢	$0	−$0.15	$0	ended
India vs. Brazil: O/U 8.5	Over	5	5¢	0¢	$0	−$0.25	$0	ended
Belarus vs. San Marino: O/U 6.5	Over	5	3.5¢	0¢	$0	−$0.17	$0	ended
Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5	Over	5	4¢	0¢	$0	−$0.20	$0	ended
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 4.5	Over	5	8¢	0¢	$0	−$0.40	$0	ended
Bahamas vs. US Virgin Islands: O/U 2.5	Under	5	16¢	0¢	$0	−$0.80	$0	ended
Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 6.5	Over	5	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$0.19	$0	ended
Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5	Over	5	14¢	0¢	$0	−$0.70	$0	ended
UD Las Palmas vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 6.5	Over	5	5¢	0¢	$0	−$0.25	$0	ended
Greece vs. Germany: O/U 6.5	Over	5	3.2¢	0¢	$0	−$0.16	$0	ended
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5	Over	5	14¢	0¢	$0	−$0.70	$0	ended
Trinidad and Tobago vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5	Over	5	6¢	0¢	$0	−$0.30	$0	ended
AA Estudiantes vs. Racing Club: O/U 4.5	Over	5	12¢	0¢	$0	−$0.60	$0	ended
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5	Over	5	4¢	0¢	$0	−$0.20	$0	ended
Vegalta Sendai vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 5.5	Over	5	6¢	0¢	$0	−$0.30	$0	ended
Nicaragua vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5	Over	5	8¢	0¢	$0	−$0.40	$0	ended
Netherlands vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5	Over	5	7¢	0¢	$0	−$0.35	$0	ended
AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 6.5	Over	5	16¢	0¢	$0	−$0.80	−$0.03	ended
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: O/U 5.5	Over	5	19¢	0¢	$0	−$0.95	$0	ended
Anguilla vs. Antigua and Barbuda: O/U 4.5	Over	5	33¢	0¢	$0	−$1.65	$0	ended
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 6.5	Over	5	7¢	0¢	$0	−$0.35	$0	ended
AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 5.5	Over	5	24¢	0¢	$0	−$1.20	−$0.05	ended
Wuxi Wugou vs. Ningbo Professional FC: O/U 3.5	Over	5	17¢	0¢	$0	−$0.85	$0	ended
Turks and Caicos Islands vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 4.5	Over	5	8¢	0¢	$0	−$0.40	$0	ended
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 6.5	Over	5	5¢	0¢	$0	−$0.25	$0	ended
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5	Over	5	3¢	0¢	$0	−$0.15	$0	ended
Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5	Over	4	3¢	0¢	$0	−$0.13	$0	ended
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: 1st Half O/U 3.5	Over	3	58.6¢	0¢	$0	−$1.68	−$2.41	ended
New Mexico United vs. Phoenix Rising FC: O/U 4.5	Over	3	8¢	0¢	$0	−$0.22	$0	ended
Canada vs. Peru: O/U 0.5	Under	1	9¢	0¢	$0	−$0.10	$0	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
6h ago	SELL Yes	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	3.1¢	402	$12	51%	56
6h ago	SELL Yes	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	91¢	0	$0.35	51%	56
6h ago	SELL Yes	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1.1¢	1,869	$21	51%	56
6h ago	SELL Yes	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	90¢	99	$89	51%	56
10h ago	SELL Yes	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	4¢	458	$18	51%	56
10h ago	SELL Yes	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1.5¢	314	$4.71	51%	56
12h ago	BUY Yes	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	81.3¢	126	$103	51%	56
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	3.2¢	420	$13	51%	56
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	3.4¢	624	$21	51%	56
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	3.8¢	624	$24	51%	56
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	3¢	11.4k	$343	51%	56
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	4¢	315	$13	51%	56
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	3.9¢	619	$24	51%	56
14d ago	SELL Yes	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	10.2¢	1,398	$142	51%	56
14d ago	SELL Over	Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5	99.9¢	10	$9.99	51%	56
14d ago	SELL Over	Wuxi Wugou vs. Ningbo Professional FC: O/U 1.5	47¢	22	$10	51%	56
14d ago	SELL Over	Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5	99.9¢	15	$15	51%	56
14d ago	SELL Over	Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5	99.9¢	70	$70	51%	56
14d ago	SELL Yes	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?	13¢	20	$2.60	51%	56
14d ago	SELL Yes	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?	7.7¢	77	$5.93	51%	56