sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,118

64MGX75VLQ

0xf4d…4637
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,790vol $972k
PnL 30d+$486gains $2,765 · losses $13
PnL 7d+$181win rate 7d 94.7%
Win rate98.6%adj 96.7% · 30d 95.2%
Open value$36.7kcash n/a
Positions53 / 1,085open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.9%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$7,891below peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

81/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 98.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 53

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes28.0k50¢63.5¢$17.8k+$3,780$0
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No28.0k50¢36.5¢$10.2k−$3,780$0
Human moon landing in 2026?No1,00093.6¢98.4¢$984+$47$0
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?No91690.6¢95.9¢$878+$49$0
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?No80089.3¢95.9¢$767+$53$0
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No60099¢100¢$600+$5.50$0
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?No60095.7¢97.2¢$583+$8.50$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No50095.9¢97.8¢$489+$9.05$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No50081¢97¢$485+$80+$6.00
China coup attempt before 2027?No50095.1¢96.2¢$481+$5.29$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No40099.8¢99.8¢$399−$0.15$0
NATO dissolves before 2027?No40095.4¢98.6¢$394+$12$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No40386¢94.5¢$381+$34$0
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?No38086.5¢87.4¢$332+$3.17$0
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No30095.4¢97.6¢$293+$6.56$0
Will Alberta join the US? No25796.7¢98.7¢$254+$5.25$0
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No25099.8¢99.8¢$250+$0.07$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No20096.2¢98.7¢$197+$5.00$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No16088.2¢98.2¢$157+$16+$3.76
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?No10596.6¢97.2¢$102+$0.58$0
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No10090¢97.5¢$98+$7.50$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo10092¢91.5¢$92−$0.50$0
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?No5099.1¢99.3¢$50+$0.09$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?No3299.6¢99.2¢$32−$0.13$0
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?No4073¢70.5¢$29−$1.01$0
Will the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be under 5.3?No4599.7¢58¢$26−$19$0
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?No2099.9¢100¢$20+$0.01$0
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?No2099.9¢100¢$20+$0.01$0
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?No2099.9¢100¢$20+$0.01$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes2099.7¢99.7¢$20$0$0
Will the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 6.1 or more?Yes2599.5¢65.6¢$16−$8.50$0
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1699.9¢100¢$16+$0.01$0
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1699.9¢100¢$16+$0.01$0
Will the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?No2599.5¢58¢$14−$10$0
Will the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?No2599.5¢57.7¢$14−$10$0
Will the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?No2599.5¢57.6¢$14−$10$0
Will the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?No2599.5¢57.3¢$14−$11$0
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1299.9¢100¢$12+$0.01$0
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1099.9¢100¢$9.99+$0.01$0
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1099.9¢100¢$9.99+$0.01$0
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1099.9¢100¢$9.99+$0.01$0
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1099.9¢100¢$9.99+$0.01$0
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1099.9¢100¢$9.99+$0.01$0
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1099.9¢100¢$9.99+$0.01$0
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1099.9¢100¢$9.99+$0.01$0
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1099.9¢100¢$9.99+$0.01$0
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1099.9¢100¢$9.99+$0.01$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1099.9¢99.9¢$9.99$0$0
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?No899.9¢100¢$8.00$0$0
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?No899.9¢100¢$8.00$0$0
2026 Balance of Power: OtherNo599.9¢99.9¢$4.99$0$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes599.8¢99.4¢$4.97−$0.02$0
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No199.8¢100¢$1.00$0+$0.09

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 6.1 or more?99.9¢42$4299%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?99.9¢5$5.0099%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?99.9¢5$5.0099%81Sharp
BUY YesWill a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?99.9¢1$1.0099%81Sharp
BUY YesWill a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?99.9¢5$5.0099%81Sharp
BUY NoWill "Other Mommy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?99.9¢35$3599%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?99.9¢15$1599%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be under 5.3?99.9¢35$3599%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?99.9¢15$1599%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?99.9¢15$1599%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?99.9¢15$1599%81Sharp
BUY NoWill there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?99.8¢25$2599%81Sharp
BUY NoWill there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?99¢575$56999%81Sharp
BUY NoChina coup attempt before 2027?96.6¢100$9799%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 6.1 or more?99.5¢25$2599%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?99¢10$9.9099%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?99¢10$9.9099%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?99¢10$9.9099%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?99¢10$9.9099%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 9, 2026 be under 5.3?99¢10$9.9099%81Sharp