PnL all-time−$116vol $14.0k
PnL 30d+$0.75gains $0.72 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate93.1%adj 83.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$232cash n/a
Positions3 / 75open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.1%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 25d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$116below peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 93.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d16
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7? · Noclosed+$10Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season? · Noclosed+$7.62Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? · Noclosed+$5.94Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? · Noclosed+$5.34Will Solana reach $160 in October? · Yesclosed+$5.08
Worst markets
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 152 | 98.7¢ | 98.7¢ | $150 | −$0.08 | $0 | |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 86 | 95.6¢ | 95.6¢ | $82 | −$0.04 | $0 | |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | 22 | 82.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | $0 |
Recent trades
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