sharpside
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0xf51…31d5

0xf51…31d5
PoliticsCultureCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$480vol $50.3k
PnL 30d−$47gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$18win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate44.1%adj 46.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$8,051cash n/a
Positions95 / 129open / all-time
Max drawdown−39.1%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$486below peak −$302Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale38
Adjusted win rateraw 44.1% · shrunk toward 50%16
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity61

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 44

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?No2,41091.1¢100¢$2,409+$213−$120
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?No92583¢100¢$924+$157−$143
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?No49555¢100¢$494+$222−$0.27
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?No49455¢100¢$493+$222−$0.32
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No48455.3¢96.2¢$466+$198−$1.30
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No41796.2¢98.8¢$411+$11−$1,041
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?No39099.4¢100¢$390+$2.15$0
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?No30599¢100¢$305+$2.90$0
Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?No59355.1¢45.5¢$270−$57$0
Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes46438.7¢54.5¢$253+$73$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No4,27455¢5¢$214−$2,138−$23
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes19259¢95¢$183+$69+$2.41
Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?No22178.2¢70.5¢$156−$17$0
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch?No17782¢84.5¢$150+$4.43$0
Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch?No13692.1¢97.2¢$132+$6.91$0
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?No11296.9¢100¢$112+$3.41−$53
Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No9649.7¢100¢$96+$49$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?Up7559¢100¢$75+$31$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No8473.1¢86¢$72+$11−$88
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?No6398.4¢100¢$62+$0.97$0
Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch?No5493.1¢94.5¢$51+$0.76$0
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes6264.6¢80¢$50+$9.62$0
Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes12415.3¢29.5¢$37+$18$0
Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes4845¢71.5¢$34+$13$0
Surf FDV above $300M one day after launch?No5086¢58.5¢$29−$14$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No2696.1¢97.9¢$25+$0.46$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?No2495.2¢97.9¢$23+$0.65$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No2775.6¢77.9¢$21+$0.61−$7.30
Surf FDV above $500M one day after launch?No2088.1¢74.5¢$15−$2.71$0
Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?No5149¢28.5¢$14−$10$0
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?No6228¢20¢$12−$4.99$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2238.5¢48.4¢$11+$2.18+$4.99
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No1291.4¢82.3¢$9.87−$1.10$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes887¢100¢$7.69+$1.00$0
Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes2397.2¢2.8¢$6.70−$11$0
Surf FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes148¢41.5¢$5.93+$4.78$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes13119.7¢3.8¢$4.97−$21+$6.76
Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes666.3¢5.5¢$3.62−$0.53$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes371¢100¢$3.45+$1.00$0
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes2212¢15.5¢$3.33+$0.75$0
76ers vs. Celtics76ers314¢100¢$3.03+$2.61$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No367¢100¢$3.03+$1.00$0
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsVitality364¢100¢$2.78+$1.00$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?Yes1144.2¢2.1¢$2.40−$2.40$0

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