sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,088

PropheticFire

0xf56…1386
WhalePnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOtherWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$41.9kvol $1.85M
PnL 30d+$3,355gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1,691win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.1%adj 61.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$33.1kcash n/a
Positions20 / 76open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.3%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$49.7kbelow peak −$2,456Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 66.1% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 20

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes37.8k49¢61.5¢$23.2k+$4,723$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes50.0k4.8¢15.1¢$7,525+$5,100$0
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes262k0.9¢0.4¢$917−$1,541$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Yes1,60051.7¢39¢$624−$204$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes50.0k1.8¢1.2¢$575−$309$0
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes20.0k1.6¢0.8¢$150−$178$0
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,0002¢1.1¢$52−$49+$35
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes1,0002.9¢0.1¢$0.50−$29$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No7,95017.9¢0¢$0−$1,420−$20
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No6,0009.2¢0¢$0−$550$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No5,95045.8¢0¢$0−$2,728−$12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No3,80019.3¢0¢$0−$734−$14
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No3,02051.6¢0¢$0−$1,557$0
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?Yes1,9001.3¢0¢$0−$24−$0.74
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes1,80015¢0¢$0−$270$0
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes1,7504.3¢0¢$0−$76$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes1,52514.2¢0¢$0−$217+$424
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No1,0007¢0¢$0−$70$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No80015.8¢0¢$0−$127$0
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes5723.5¢0¢$0−$20$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?36¢1,500$54066%56
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?51.7¢1,600$82866%56
BUY YesWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1.5¢25.0k$38466%56
BUY YesWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?2.9¢1,000$2966%56
BUY NoSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?8.7¢400$3566%56
BUY NoSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?14¢3,000$42066%56
BUY NoSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?6¢2,500$15066%56
BUY NoSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?30¢400$12066%56
BUY NoSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?29¢1,000$29066%56
BUY NoSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?44.7¢1,700$76066%56
BUY NoSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?57¢1,500$85566%56
BUY NoSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?57¢3,000$1,71066%56
BUY NoSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?65¢2,100$1,36566%56
SELL NoStarmer out by June 30, 2026?80¢1,230$98466%56
SELL NoWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?22¢700$15466%56
SELL YesWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2.1¢5,000$10566%56
BUY NoSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?20¢2,000$40066%56
SELL YesWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?29.9¢3,000$89766%56
BUY YesHarris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?1.5¢1,000$1566%56
BUY YesWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?14.4¢800$11566%56