sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

muddyrc

0xf58…5f34@MuddyRC
PnL 10k+PoliticsCryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$24.2kvol $1.03M
PnL 30d−$1,247gains $422 · losses $18.3k
PnL 7d+$172win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate50.1%adj 50.1% · 30d 9.3%
Open value$14.7kcash n/a
Positions23 / 943open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.4%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 24d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$26.7kbelow peak −$2,095Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 50.1% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d20
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 23

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No1,90093.2¢97.1¢$1,844+$73$0
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes3,14443.3¢58.5¢$1,839+$479$0
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes1,65480.8¢96.1¢$1,589+$253$0
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes2,03441¢77.5¢$1,576+$742$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No1,47066.6¢91¢$1,338+$359$0
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes1,30067.8¢88.5¢$1,150+$269$0
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Yes3,40035.6¢28¢$952−$258+$58
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No80084.1¢98.1¢$784+$111$0
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No64288.3¢89¢$572+$4.69$0
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes60064.2¢70.5¢$423+$38−$32
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes80069.2¢51.5¢$412−$142$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes70051.4¢45.9¢$321−$39$0
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?Yes50063¢59.5¢$298−$18$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No30061¢93.5¢$281+$98$0
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes40074.8¢70.1¢$280−$19$0
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?No26686¢96.9¢$258+$29+$2.39
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?No20077¢94.5¢$189+$35$0
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?No20053¢89.5¢$179+$73$0
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Yes30330.4¢58.5¢$177+$85$0
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes36143¢42¢$152−$3.61$0
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No7242¢95¢$69+$38+$8.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETUp1,00039.5¢0¢$0−$395−$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp60049¢0¢$0−$294$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?28¢847$23750%55
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET45.7¢700$32050%55
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET49¢300$14750%55
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET48¢280$13450%55
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET45¢50$2350%55
BUY YesWill Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?70¢300$21050%55
BUY YesWill Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?70¢300$21050%55
SELL NoWill The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?99.9¢400$40050%55
BUY NoLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?89¢368$32850%55
BUY YesWill Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?67¢40$2750%55
BUY YesWill Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?63¢30$1950%55
BUY YesVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?44¢100$4450%55
BUY YesVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?41¢23$9.3550%55
BUY YesVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?68¢157$10750%55
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET32¢200$6450%55
BUY YesVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?43¢300$12950%55
BUY NoWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?3.1¢300$9.3050%55
BUY NoWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?2.8¢200$5.6050%55
BUY NoWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?2.9¢300$8.6350%55
BUY SpainSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance73.8¢200$14850%55