sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,480

CosmooKramer

0xf5b…5b5e
WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,617vol $419k
PnL 30d+$212gains $779 · losses $1,115
PnL 7d+$46win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate69.8%adj 68.8% · 30d 62.5%
Open value$2,535cash n/a
Positions1 / 384open / all-time
Max drawdown−31.8%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,954below peak −$617Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 69.8% · shrunk toward 50%72
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 1

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,00082¢84.5¢$2,535+$74+$68

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢3,469$2,91470%69
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢469$39470%69
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?27¢322$8770%69
SELL YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?29.1¢324$9470%69
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?65¢213$13870%69
SELL YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?34¢426$14570%69
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢136$11570%69
SELL NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?98.8¢70$6970%69
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?81¢1,000$81070%69
BUY NoMoscow air traffic suspended by September 15?98¢540$52970%69
SELL YesWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?83.8¢632$52970%69
BUY NoMoscow air traffic suspended by September 15?75¢178$13370%69
BUY NoLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?99.8¢3,000$2,99470%69
SELL YesWill Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?1.6¢183$2.9270%69
SELL NoWill the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?89.5¢125$11270%69
SELL NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?93¢3,333$3,10070%69
SELL NoMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?79¢1,003$79270%69
BUY YesWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?85.1¢110$9470%69
SELL NoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?73¢200$14670%69
BUY NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?98.3¢156$15370%69