| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 15.7k | 0.4¢ | 2.3¢ | $352 | +$294 | +$165 | |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 800 | 14.9¢ | 28.5¢ | $228 | +$109 | $0 | |
| Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 1,250 | 2.6¢ | 17.5¢ | $219 | +$187 | +$421 | |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | Yes | 1,595 | 4.9¢ | 12¢ | $191 | +$113 | +$86 | |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 1,750 | 2.4¢ | 9.7¢ | $169 | +$127 | +$119 | |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 2,283 | 0.7¢ | 7¢ | $159 | +$142 | +$164 | |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 20.6k | 0.5¢ | 0.7¢ | $144 | +$42 | +$83 | |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 9,685 | 0.2¢ | 1.4¢ | $136 | +$116 | +$120 | |
| Will Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | Yes | 689 | 0.1¢ | 19.5¢ | $134 | +$133 | $0 | |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 500 | 3.8¢ | 25.8¢ | $129 | +$110 | +$22 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 24.0k | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $120 | −$4.84 | +$57 | |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 4,242 | 0.5¢ | 2.7¢ | $115 | +$91 | +$80 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1,200 | 5.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $113 | +$48 | +$22 | |
| Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? | No | 250 | 1.9¢ | 43.1¢ | $108 | +$103 | +$83 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 255 | 7¢ | 42.3¢ | $108 | +$90 | +$14 | |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 451 | 4.3¢ | 22.2¢ | $100 | +$81 | +$335 | |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? | No | 3,017 | 1.1¢ | 3.3¢ | $98 | +$65 | +$4.92 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 500 | 14¢ | 19¢ | $95 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 200 | 14.4¢ | 46¢ | $92 | +$63 | +$128 | |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 26.2k | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $92 | +$18 | +$34 | |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,000 | 0.6¢ | 2.9¢ | $89 | +$69 | +$96 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 200 | 8.2¢ | 42.5¢ | $85 | +$69 | +$135 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 500 | 6.2¢ | 17¢ | $85 | +$54 | +$19 | |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 4,696 | 0.8¢ | 1.8¢ | $85 | +$47 | +$71 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 250 | 20.1¢ | 33.7¢ | $84 | +$34 | +$43 | |
| Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 2,700 | 2.2¢ | 3.1¢ | $84 | +$25 | +$113 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,849 | 4.4¢ | 4.5¢ | $83 | +$2.20 | +$22 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 200 | 3.1¢ | 40.4¢ | $81 | +$75 | +$274 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 1,600 | 3.1¢ | 4.9¢ | $78 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 6,010 | 0.5¢ | 1.3¢ | $75 | +$47 | +$102 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | Yes | 6,000 | 1¢ | 1.3¢ | $75 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 750 | 7.8¢ | 10¢ | $75 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | Yes | 2,350 | 2.5¢ | 3.2¢ | $74 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 1,900 | 6.2¢ | 3.9¢ | $73 | −$45 | +$86 | |
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2,500 | 0.3¢ | 2.9¢ | $73 | +$65 | +$32 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,019 | 2.2¢ | 2.3¢ | $69 | +$3.58 | $0 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 4,076 | 0.3¢ | 1.7¢ | $69 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 3¢ | 69¢ | $69 | +$66 | +$30 | |
| Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 5,250 | 0.2¢ | 1.3¢ | $68 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 8,543 | 0.6¢ | 0.8¢ | $64 | +$15 | +$4.71 | |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 7,500 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | $64 | −$6.73 | $0 | |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 4,372 | 1¢ | 1.5¢ | $63 | +$19 | +$61 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | Yes | 3,800 | 4.7¢ | 1.6¢ | $61 | −$118 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 500 | 8.6¢ | 12¢ | $60 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 300 | 10.1¢ | 19.5¢ | $58 | +$28 | +$116 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2,303 | 1.6¢ | 2.5¢ | $58 | +$20 | +$215 | |
| Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? | No | 129 | 2.8¢ | 44.3¢ | $57 | +$54 | +$46 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 3,650 | 3.9¢ | 1.6¢ | $57 | −$84 | $0 | |
| Will Mia Frisk be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? | Yes | 149 | 0.4¢ | 37.8¢ | $56 | +$56 | $0 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 550 | 14.5¢ | 10¢ | $55 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 200 | 12.8¢ | 27¢ | $54 | +$28 | +$64 | |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | Yes | 600 | 6.7¢ | 9¢ | $54 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 6,250 | 0.5¢ | 0.9¢ | $53 | +$23 | +$236 | |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ | 1.1¢ | $53 | +$1.26 | +$20 | |
| Will Mikael Strandman be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | Yes | 570 | 0.7¢ | 9.2¢ | $52 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 500 | 15¢ | 10.4¢ | $52 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? | No | 78 | 3.1¢ | 65.9¢ | $52 | +$49 | +$62 | |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 11.4k | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $51 | +$7.08 | +$66 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027? | Yes | 250 | 20¢ | 20.5¢ | $51 | +$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 7,200 | 0.2¢ | 0.7¢ | $50 | +$35 | +$5.67 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | 4¢ | 16.5¢ | $50 | +$38 | +$38 | |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 1,400 | 2.5¢ | 3.5¢ | $49 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | Yes | 5,750 | 0.3¢ | 0.9¢ | $49 | +$30 | +$38 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 500 | 8.2¢ | 9.6¢ | $48 | +$6.75 | $0 | |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1,950 | 1.8¢ | 2.4¢ | $47 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,777 | 5.3¢ | 2.6¢ | $46 | −$47 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 454 | 2.5¢ | 10.1¢ | $46 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,300 | 1.4¢ | 3.5¢ | $46 | +$27 | +$28 | |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 22.4k | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | $45 | +$9.23 | +$29 | |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 4,253 | 0.4¢ | 1.1¢ | $45 | +$26 | +$84 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 711 | 8.5¢ | 6.3¢ | $44 | −$16 | +$4.32 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 1,150 | 3.4¢ | 3.8¢ | $44 | +$4.47 | +$1.45 | |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | No | 847 | 1¢ | 5.1¢ | $44 | +$35 | +$19 | |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 42.6k | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $43 | −$105 | $0 | |
| Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? | Yes | 3,526 | 0.7¢ | 1.2¢ | $41 | +$17 | +$14 | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 250 | 4.1¢ | 16.2¢ | $40 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 4,678 | 0.3¢ | 0.9¢ | $40 | +$25 | +$37 | |
| Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | Yes | 850 | 6.6¢ | 4.6¢ | $39 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | Yes | 3,250 | 1.5¢ | 1.2¢ | $39 | −$8.75 | +$18 | |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 7,750 | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $39 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 10.9k | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $38 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 700 | 9.7¢ | 5.3¢ | $37 | −$31 | +$23 | |
| Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | 1,846 | 1.3¢ | 2¢ | $37 | +$12 | +$11 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 650 | 5.9¢ | 5.7¢ | $37 | −$1.37 | +$30 | |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 5,203 | 0.3¢ | 0.7¢ | $36 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 9,048 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | $36 | −$21 | +$7.09 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 7,148 | 0.6¢ | 0.5¢ | $36 | −$4.58 | +$24 | |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | Yes | 676 | 4.6¢ | 5.3¢ | $36 | +$4.40 | $0 | |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1,900 | 1.1¢ | 1.9¢ | $35 | +$13 | +$40 | |
| Will LYON win Worlds 2026? | Yes | 3,700 | 0.6¢ | 1¢ | $35 | +$14 | +$9.00 | |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 250 | 11.4¢ | 14¢ | $35 | +$6.50 | $0 | |
| Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? | Yes | 2,019 | 0.4¢ | 1.7¢ | $34 | +$27 | +$16 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ | 1.7¢ | $34 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 400 | 16¢ | 8.5¢ | $34 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5,650 | 1.1¢ | 0.6¢ | $34 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 9,630 | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | $34 | +$13 | +$18 | |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 350 | 11.2¢ | 9.5¢ | $33 | −$6.12 | +$17 | |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 13.3k | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $33 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will Tobias Eriksson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | Yes | 590 | 0.4¢ | 5.6¢ | $33 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4,995 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | $32 | −$10 | +$83 | |