PnL all-time+$92.5kvol $11.4M
PnL 30d+$14.3kgains $13.6k · losses $7,897
PnL 7d+$11.9kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate84.5%adj 81.4% · 30d 70.0%
Open value$104kcash n/a
Positions5 / 215open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$93.0kbelow peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 84.5% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · Yesclosed+$85.9kWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noopen+$33.5kMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$16.9kOver $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale? · Noclosed+$13.5kOver $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Yesclosed+$12.2k
Worst markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Noopen−$53.9kWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$33.5kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Noopen−$32.3kOver $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale? · Yesclosed−$16.5kOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Yesclosed−$9,157
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 104k | 50¢ | 82.2¢ | $85.6k | +$33.5k | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 104k | 50¢ | 17.8¢ | $18.6k | −$33.5k | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 57.1k | 94.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53.9k | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 49.7k | 90¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44.7k | +$12.4k | |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | No | 13 | 58¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.60 | $0 |
Recent trades
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