PnL all-time+$1,408vol $273k
PnL 30d−$148gains $60 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$15win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate97.0%adj 93.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$165cash n/a
Positions7 / 237open / all-time
Max drawdown−47.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 23h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$870below peak −$723Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
71/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 97.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity53
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025? · Yesclosed+$110Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024? · Yesclosed+$98No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$90Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$77No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$62
Worst markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yesopen−$557Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$209S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22? · Upclosed−$109Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yesclosed−$78Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31? · Noopen−$64
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 944 | 76.5¢ | 17.5¢ | $165 | −$557 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? | Yes | 5,203 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,819 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | −$8.90 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | Yes | 104 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Yes | 30 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.20 | $0 | |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16? | Up | 25 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.25 | −$0.01 | |
| Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31? | No | 8 | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.50 | −$64 |
Recent trades
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