sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,663

mackiah

0xf6a…178e@0xmackiah
WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,506vol $213k
PnL 30d+$1,101gains $3,657 · losses $1,122
PnL 7d−$901win rate 7d 43.8%
Win rate69.2%adj 67.0% · 30d 70.6%
Open value$5,674cash n/a
Positions84 / 253open / all-time
Max drawdown−46.1%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 23h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,554below peak −$1,207Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 69.2% · shrunk toward 50%68
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity54

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 84

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes7,77358¢58.5¢$4,547+$39−$1.68
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?No67653.9¢90¢$608+$244$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1,00036.2¢51.9¢$519+$157$0
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No8,2500.3¢0¢$0−$27−$1.33
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes6,1840.8¢0¢$0−$49−$1.47
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes5,0001¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes4,4241.9¢0¢$0−$84−$25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No2,0004.5¢0¢$0−$90$0
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,60012¢0¢$0−$192$0
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes1,5460.9¢0¢$0−$14−$0.41
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No1,52213.3¢0¢$0−$202−$73
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No1,50040.4¢0¢$0−$606$0
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes1,1021¢0¢$0−$11−$0.42
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes1,0295.4¢0¢$0−$56−$1.59
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)Anthony Hernandez1,01767¢0¢$0−$681−$11
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes1,00010¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?Yes8208.5¢0¢$0−$70−$1.42
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No75016¢0¢$0−$120$0
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No70050.7¢0¢$0−$355$0
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Panthers55052¢0¢$0−$286$0
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No52026¢0¢$0−$135+$139
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 15–20%?Yes50421¢0¢$0−$106−$0.77
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?Yes50113¢0¢$0−$65−$0.09
Rocket League: TSM vs R8 Esports (BO5) - RLCS World Championship Play-InTSM50050¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 300 and 399 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?Yes4211.2¢0¢$0−$4.95−$0.24
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes4206.7¢0¢$0−$28−$1.25
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group StageLGD Gaming41053¢0¢$0−$217−$5.10
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No40945.6¢0¢$0−$186−$4.06
Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Over/Under 19%?Over40064¢0¢$0−$256−$0.19
Spread: Florida (-5.5)Florida40051¢0¢$0−$204$0
Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-14?Yes31036¢0¢$0−$112−$3.57
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-08-30?Yes30941¢0¢$0−$127−$3.74
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-15?Yes30942¢0¢$0−$130−$3.76
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-08-09?Yes30848¢0¢$0−$148−$3.84
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag: Both Teams to ScoreNo30848¢0¢$0−$148−$3.84
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-08-30?Yes30753¢0¢$0−$163−$3.83
Willem II Tilburg vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5Under30756¢0¢$0−$172−$3.78
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD?MP30073¢0¢$0−$219$0
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-15?Yes30033¢0¢$0−$99$0
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-19?Yes30037¢0¢$0−$111$0
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)Team WE30050¢0¢$0−$150$0
China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Peyton StearnsPeyton Stearns30061¢0¢$0−$183−$3.57
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-19?Yes30058¢0¢$0−$174$0
China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Daria SnigurJasmine Paolini30057¢0¢$0−$171−$3.68
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19?Yes30056¢0¢$0−$168$0
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)49ers25049¢0¢$0−$123$0
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Rodolfo Vieira (Middleweight, Main Card)Robert Bryczek20639¢0¢$0−$80−$2.45
CD Nacional vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: Both Teams to ScoreNo20547¢0¢$0−$97−$2.56
Will Club Brugge win on 2026-08-30?Yes20459¢0¢$0−$120−$2.47
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Dustin Jacoby20464¢0¢$0−$130−$2.35
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam20366¢0¢$0−$134−$2.28
Lillestrøm SK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Under20369¢0¢$0−$140−$2.17
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5Under20372¢0¢$0−$146−$2.05
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)Joel Álvarez20375¢0¢$0−$152−$1.90
Will CF América win on 2026-08-13?Yes20276¢0¢$0−$154−$1.85
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-InNEW VISION20061¢0¢$0−$122−$0.12
UFC Fight Night: Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda (Bantamweight, Prelims)John Castaneda20075¢0¢$0−$150$0
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No20022¢0¢$0−$44$0
Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-02?Yes20060¢0¢$0−$120$0
Dana White's Contender Series: Brandon Holmes vs. Modestino Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)Brandon Holmes20060¢0¢$0−$120$0
CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Under20066¢0¢$0−$132$0
Will Diego Lopes fight Charles Oliveira next?No18414¢0¢$0−$26−$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3?Yes16782.3¢0¢$0−$137−$1.19
Hamarkameratene vs. Kristiansund BK: Both Teams to ScoreNo15540¢0¢$0−$62−$1.85
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 3.5Under15453¢0¢$0−$81−$1.91
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No14522¢0¢$0−$32$0
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 200 and 299 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?Yes1352¢0¢$0−$2.70−$0.13
France vs. England: O/U 4.5Under12775¢0¢$0−$95−$1.19
Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Under10349¢0¢$0−$50−$1.28
Seattle Sounders FC vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to ScoreNo10223.4¢0¢$0−$24−$0.92
Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to ScoreNo10146¢0¢$0−$46−$0.32
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31?No10062¢0¢$0−$62$0
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros10059¢0¢$0−$59−$1.21
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5Over10056¢0¢$0−$56$0
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-07-31?Yes10036¢0¢$0−$36$0
Rocket League: NRG Esports vs TSM (BO5) - Esports World Cup Group ANRG Esports10089¢0¢$0−$89$0
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-31?Yes10058¢0¢$0−$58$0
CA Bucaramanga vs. Llaneros FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo7756¢0¢$0−$43$0
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No6086¢0¢$0−$52$0
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No5136¢0¢$0−$18−$0.35
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in July?No4551¢0¢$0−$23$0
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 199 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?Yes215.7¢0¢$0−$1.20−$0.06
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?No862¢0¢$0−$4.76$0
Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-08-10?No564¢0¢$0−$3.47$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoAnthony Fauci charged by December 31?89.4¢200$17969%63
SELL YesWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?85.1¢300$25569%63
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?58¢2,887$1,67569%63
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?70¢2,720$1,90469%63
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?58¢4,180$2,42469%63
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?60.1¢2,029$1,21969%63
BUYDana White's Contender Series: Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi (Bantamweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)51.3¢285$14669%63
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?35.7¢753$26969%63
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?31.4¢554$17469%63
SELL NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?35.8¢1,016$36469%63
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?48.1¢510$24569%63
SELL YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?90.9¢204$18669%63
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?50¢61$3169%63
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?60¢1,016$61069%63
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?51¢244$12569%63
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?61.8¢721$44669%63
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?59.4¢535$31869%63
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?54.5¢1,018$55569%63
SELL YesWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?55.3¢407$22569%63
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?57¢204$11669%63