sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,653

6idontknow123451334

0xf6c…1c13
PnL 10k+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$14.9kvol $356k
PnL 30d+$7,358gains $7,421 · losses $1,001
PnL 7d+$593win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate63.6%adj 61.5% · 30d 58.8%
Open value$11.7kcash n/a
Positions28 / 138open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$14.3kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 63.6% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$6,406US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Noclosed+$3,221Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? · Noclosed+$2,302US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,130Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1? · Noclosed+$1,102

Worst markets

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yesopen−$2,071US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,011Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$628Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yesclosed−$521Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? · Yesclosed−$427

Open positions · 28

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?Yes3,94488.2¢88.5¢$3,491+$11$0
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Yes5,00429¢34¢$1,701+$250+$15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes8,78441¢18¢$1,581−$2,022−$48
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of December 2026?No1,13091.2¢97.8¢$1,105+$75$0
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of December 2026?No99286¢94.5¢$938+$85$0
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026?Yes79572.7¢83.5¢$664+$86$0
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of December 2026?No61579.1¢87.5¢$538+$52$0
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Yes95342¢42.5¢$405+$4.76+$18
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026?No41266.2¢74.5¢$307+$34$0
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Yes40066¢67¢$268+$4.00$0
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Yes39340.2¢58.5¢$230+$72$0
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?No25150.2¢58.5¢$147+$21$0
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Yes27015.5¢33.6¢$91+$49$0
Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes1,46922.3¢4.6¢$67−$261$0
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?Yes1,4726.3¢4¢$59−$34$0
Will SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?No7223.8¢56¢$40+$23$0
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026?No4077¢95.5¢$38+$7.40$0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No1077¢84.5¢$8.45+$0.75$0
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Yes7531¢6¢$4.49−$19$0
Trump out as President by July 31?Yes1,1660.5¢0¢$0−$5.83−$0.23
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes61547.3¢0¢$0−$291$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No38621¢0¢$0−$81$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No30030¢0¢$0−$90$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes28618.3¢0¢$0−$52$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes2053.4¢0¢$0−$6.97$0
Will Shabana Mahmood be in the Burnham cabinet?No1560.6¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes677.2¢0¢$0−$4.85−$0.18
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No3479¢0¢$0−$27$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?50.4¢280$14164%65
SELL YesSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?40.5¢151$6164%65
BUY YesSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?42¢1,233$51864%65
BUY YesSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?29¢5,155$1,49564%65
BUY YesWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?88.2¢3,944$3,48064%65
BUY YesWill EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026?72.7¢795$57864%65
BUY YesWill EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?40.2¢393$15864%65
BUY YesPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?17.1¢70$1264%65
BUY NoWill EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of December 2026?79.1¢615$48664%65
BUY NoWill EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of December 2026?86¢992$85364%65
BUY NoWill EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026?66.2¢412$27364%65
BUY NoWill EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?50.2¢251$12664%65
BUY NoWill EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of December 2026?91.2¢1,130$1,03064%65
SELL NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?34¢1,622$55164%65
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?33¢2,908$96064%65
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?33¢2,908$96064%65
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?36¢1,622$58464%65
BUY NoWill US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026?77¢40$3164%65
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?72¢500$36064%65
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?32¢28.8k$9,20564%65