PnL all-time−$261vol $2,709
PnL 30d−$3.16gains $46 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$35win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 64.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$228cash n/a
Positions11 / 19open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? · Noclosed+$54Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30? · Noclosed+$46Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March? · Yesclosed+$32Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m? · Noclosed+$32Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$24
Worst markets
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28? · Noopen−$161Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? · Noopen−$105Will Nicki Minaj attend the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yesopen−$74China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Noopen−$58Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m? · Yesopen−$41
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 183 | 63.2¢ | 70.5¢ | $129 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by October 31, 2026? | No | 160 | 75¢ | 61.7¢ | $99 | −$21 | $0 |
Recent trades
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