sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,537

LA17

0xf6e…0a00
SharpWhalePnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$13.4kvol $3.08M
PnL 30d+$4,126gains $2,911 · losses $2,033
PnL 7d+$468win rate 7d 85.7%
Win rate78.9%adj 77.5% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$74.6kcash n/a
Positions36 / 456open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.2%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$17.8kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

81/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 78.9% · shrunk toward 50%94
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 36

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No24.9k93¢97.1¢$24.1k+$1,018$0
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No6,77591¢95.7¢$6,484+$318+$3.60
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No7,09587.4¢89.5¢$6,350+$150+$134
US recession by end of 2026?No6,60087.8¢93.5¢$6,171+$377+$1,153
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes7,59119.1¢70¢$5,314+$3,866−$49
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No4,89989.4¢94.2¢$4,615+$237$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No3,42698.8¢99.2¢$3,397+$11$0
Plague pandemic in 2026?No3,00094.7¢96¢$2,879+$37$0
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No2,50092.2¢92.1¢$2,303−$1.79$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No1,73694.5¢96.2¢$1,669+$29$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No6,81576.5¢23.2¢$1,578−$3,634$0
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No1,61087.8¢95.4¢$1,535+$122$0
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No1,50692¢92.5¢$1,393+$7.53+$0.24
US recession by end of 2027?No1,50067.9¢66.5¢$997−$21−$49
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes1,00095.2¢95.4¢$954+$1.10$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?No1,02983.9¢91.4¢$940+$77−$12
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes10.1k6.3¢8.1¢$816+$179+$1.24
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?No82096.2¢95.6¢$784−$4.81+$95
AI bubble burst in 2026?No50091.4¢93.9¢$469+$12+$210
New pandemic in 2026?No40092¢94.5¢$378+$10$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes1,50025¢22.5¢$337−$37$0
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?No47169.1¢67¢$315−$10$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?No29888.8¢90¢$268+$3.51$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?No20086¢84.5¢$169−$3.00$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?No16095.2¢96¢$154+$1.20$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes5,3347.8¢1.8¢$93−$323+$62
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes7,0430.8¢0.7¢$49−$10+$4.01
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes4789.3¢95.6¢$45+$2.93+$285
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes3,2590.6¢0.3¢$8.15−$11+$1.43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes7397¢1.1¢$7.76−$44+$104
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Yes1,9101.4¢0.4¢$7.64−$19$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?Yes1,0580.9¢0.7¢$7.41−$1.91$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Yes4448.5¢1.6¢$6.89−$31$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes359.7¢67.6¢$1.73+$0.20$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes700.8¢0.7¢$0.46−$0.09$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes700.8¢0.5¢$0.39−$0.16$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?94.6¢30$2879%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?86¢200$17279%81Sharp
SELL YesWill 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?1.1¢2,202$2479%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?84.6¢209$17779%81Sharp
SELL NoWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?89¢3,103$2,76279%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?65¢271$17679%81Sharp
SELL NoWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?90¢397$35779%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?90¢40$3679%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?89¢20$1879%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?89¢20$1879%81Sharp
BUY NoWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?92¢896$82479%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?59.7¢3$1.5379%81Sharp
BUY NoWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?85.4¢88$7579%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?96¢40$3879%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?96¢40$3879%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?96¢40$3879%81Sharp
BUY YesWill 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?62¢16$9.9179%81Sharp
BUY NoGTA 6 launch postponed again?95.6¢204$19579%81Sharp
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?0.9¢1,058$9.3179%81Sharp
BUY NoGTA 6 launch postponed again?96¢650$62479%81Sharp