| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | 20.6k | 63.7¢ | 73.5¢ | $15.2k | +$2,027 | +$154 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 14.8k | 90¢ | 96¢ | $14.2k | +$880 | +$939 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 413k | 2.4¢ | 1.7¢ | $6,808 | −$2,952 | +$1,849 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | No | 5,350 | 89.8¢ | 96¢ | $5,136 | +$332 | +$0.07 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.1k | 8.4¢ | 18¢ | $4,868 | +$2,600 | +$3,918 | |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 6,016 | 36¢ | 35.5¢ | $2,136 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5,190 | 35.2¢ | 34.5¢ | $1,790 | −$34 | $0 | |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 138k | 1.4¢ | 1.3¢ | $1,725 | −$240 | +$390 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 17.9k | 7.6¢ | 9.5¢ | $1,699 | +$342 | +$380 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 5,875 | 34.8¢ | 27.5¢ | $1,616 | −$432 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 31.7k | 3.6¢ | 5.1¢ | $1,602 | +$474 | +$687 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2,431 | 45¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,519 | +$425 | +$122 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 1,480 | 77.2¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,384 | +$241 | $0 | |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 1,832 | 12.4¢ | 67¢ | $1,227 | +$1,000 | +$77 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? | No | 1,120 | 93.7¢ | 96.4¢ | $1,079 | +$30 | +$0.08 | |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 115k | 1¢ | 0.9¢ | $1,032 | −$110 | −$81 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5,568 | 16.1¢ | 17.8¢ | $994 | +$97 | +$1,761 | |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | 863 | 82.9¢ | 96.5¢ | $832 | +$117 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 853 | 81.3¢ | 96.6¢ | $824 | +$130 | −$549 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 8,361 | 13.3¢ | 9.5¢ | $794 | −$319 | +$367 | |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 817 | 93.7¢ | 93.2¢ | $761 | −$4.27 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 1,060 | 48.7¢ | 62.5¢ | $663 | +$146 | $0 | |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 441k | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | $661 | −$204 | −$111 | |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 757 | 49¢ | 82.5¢ | $625 | +$254 | +$18 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 669 | 75.6¢ | 81.5¢ | $546 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8,731 | 4.2¢ | 5.9¢ | $519 | +$150 | +$113 | |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028? | No | 614 | 76.5¢ | 83¢ | $509 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 513 | 94.2¢ | 95.6¢ | $491 | +$7.18 | $0 | |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 524 | 75.2¢ | 93.5¢ | $490 | +$96 | $0 | |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | No | 453 | 94¢ | 96.4¢ | $436 | +$11 | −$21 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5,799 | 5.4¢ | 7.5¢ | $432 | +$119 | +$2,470 | |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 1,040 | 33.2¢ | 41¢ | $426 | +$81 | $0 | |
| Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 470 | 85¢ | 88.5¢ | $416 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 15.5k | 2.4¢ | 2.6¢ | $396 | +$27 | +$18 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,072 | 14.5¢ | 18.5¢ | $383 | +$83 | +$708 | |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | No | 389 | 86.2¢ | 96.4¢ | $375 | +$40 | −$1,519 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 424 | 86¢ | 87¢ | $369 | +$4.24 | $0 | |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 51.1k | 2.3¢ | 0.7¢ | $358 | −$817 | +$17 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026? | No | 355 | 91.2¢ | 97.5¢ | $346 | +$22 | +$39 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 344 | 95.2¢ | 95.5¢ | $328 | +$0.86 | $0 | |
| Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 368 | 83¢ | 86¢ | $317 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 7,950 | 20.5¢ | 3.8¢ | $298 | −$1,333 | −$1,477 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 299 | 54.7¢ | 85.5¢ | $256 | +$92 | $0 | |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 1.7¢ | 2.5¢ | $245 | +$72 | +$78 | |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 19.6k | 2.2¢ | 1.3¢ | $245 | −$186 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028? | No | 270 | 81¢ | 87.5¢ | $236 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8,383 | 2.6¢ | 2.7¢ | $222 | +$2.08 | −$28 | |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 41.7k | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $209 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 231 | 84.9¢ | 85.5¢ | $197 | +$1.46 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | No | 628 | 32¢ | 31¢ | $195 | −$6.28 | $0 | |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 214 | 84¢ | 84.5¢ | $181 | +$1.07 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 186 | 92¢ | 95.9¢ | $178 | +$7.16 | $0 | |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 181 | 74¢ | 97.9¢ | $177 | +$43 | +$2.99 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028? | No | 220 | 83¢ | 80¢ | $176 | −$6.60 | $0 | |
| Will GBP/USD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? | No | 178 | 90¢ | 96.8¢ | $172 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 111k | 1.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $167 | −$1,341 | +$4.81 | |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 173 | 94.5¢ | 94.8¢ | $164 | +$0.45 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | No | 180 | 85¢ | 88¢ | $158 | +$5.40 | $0 | |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028? | No | 990 | 19.1¢ | 15.5¢ | $154 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,750 | 20.8¢ | 8.5¢ | $149 | −$214 | +$1,000 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 293 | 29¢ | 50¢ | $147 | +$62 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? | No | 144 | 92.5¢ | 97.4¢ | $140 | +$7.06 | −$41 | |
| Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 310 | 38.9¢ | 42.5¢ | $132 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 18.7k | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $103 | +$3.89 | $0 | |
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 136 | 70.6¢ | 74¢ | $100 | +$4.61 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 419 | 30.5¢ | 23.5¢ | $98 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? | No | 100 | 92¢ | 96.2¢ | $96 | +$4.15 | $0 | |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2028? | No | 100 | 80¢ | 93.3¢ | $93 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 783 | 64¢ | 11.5¢ | $90 | −$411 | $0 | |
| Will GBP/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? | No | 100 | 87¢ | 87.9¢ | $88 | +$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4,200 | 1.6¢ | 2.1¢ | $86 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? | No | 85 | 91¢ | 97.5¢ | $83 | +$5.53 | −$48 | |
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028? | Yes | 102 | 70¢ | 76.1¢ | $78 | +$6.26 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 80 | 94.4¢ | 96.7¢ | $77 | +$1.84 | $0 | |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | Yes | 810 | 21.4¢ | 9.5¢ | $77 | −$96 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 759 | 9.5¢ | 9¢ | $68 | −$3.51 | $0 | |
| Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 165 | 37¢ | 37.5¢ | $62 | +$0.82 | $0 | |
| Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 482 | 22.3¢ | 11.8¢ | $57 | −$51 | $0 | |
| Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2028? | No | 64 | 83¢ | 85¢ | $54 | +$1.28 | $0 | |
| Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2028? | No | 100 | 63¢ | 52.5¢ | $53 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 88 | 15.8¢ | 55.4¢ | $49 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028? | Yes | 120 | 35¢ | 40.5¢ | $49 | +$6.60 | $0 | |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 16.2k | 1.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $40 | −$131 | $0 | |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | Yes | 312 | 35.1¢ | 12.5¢ | $39 | −$71 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026? | No | 100 | 19¢ | 38¢ | $38 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 38 | 87¢ | 93.7¢ | $35 | +$2.52 | $0 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | Yes | 85 | 30¢ | 40.5¢ | $34 | +$8.93 | $0 | |
| Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 82 | 36.4¢ | 40.5¢ | $33 | +$3.34 | $0 | |
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 120 | 28¢ | 27.5¢ | $33 | −$0.60 | $0 | |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | Yes | 317 | 10¢ | 10¢ | $32 | $0 | $0 | |
| Maduro guilty of all counts? | No | 44 | 67.9¢ | 69¢ | $30 | +$0.50 | +$6.28 | |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 19.3k | 1.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $29 | −$183 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% in 2026? | No | 718 | 7.2¢ | 4¢ | $29 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | No | 30 | 79¢ | 90.5¢ | $27 | +$3.44 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 70 | 13¢ | 37¢ | $26 | +$17 | +$16 | |
| Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 56 | 34.9¢ | 45.5¢ | $25 | +$5.94 | $0 | |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 26 | 76.8¢ | 97.2¢ | $25 | +$5.31 | $0 | |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.6¢ | 0.3¢ | $25 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 65 | 34¢ | 38¢ | $25 | +$2.60 | $0 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 538 | 42.9¢ | 4.6¢ | $24 | −$207 | $0 | |