Traders/Rank #2,987

0bot

0xf78…1b63

SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+Weather

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$20.7kvol $838k

PnL 30d+$2,940gains $4,898 · losses $734

PnL 7d+$228win rate 7d 88.9%

Win rate72.6%adj 71.8% · 30d 74.4%

Open value$1,214cash n/a

Positions149 / 1,064open / all-time

Max drawdown−4.7%of equity peak

Account age8molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$22.7kbelow peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

81/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62

Adjusted win rateraw 72.6% · shrunk toward 50%80

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 29? · Yesclosed+$821 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 24? · Yesclosed+$522 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7? · Yesclosed+$514 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 1? · Yesclosed+$495 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5? · Yesclosed+$450

Worst markets

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9? · Yesopen−$1,364 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 20? · Noopen−$913 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2? · Yesopen−$657 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 22? · Yesopen−$652 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 22? · Noclosed−$468

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 13?	Yes	1,087	31.8¢	49.5¢	$538	+$193	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14?	Yes	630	37.9¢	39.5¢	$249	+$10	$0	15h 37m
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	2,000	12.5¢	10.5¢	$210	−$40	$0	8mo
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	200	57¢	65.1¢	$130	+$16	$0	3mo
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 13?	Yes	613	24.9¢	11.5¢	$71	−$82	$0	ended
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 13?	Yes	25	28.8¢	36¢	$9.00	+$1.80	$0	ended
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	2,000	3.1¢	0.3¢	$5.00	−$58	$0	3mo
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on October 12?	Yes	239	3¢	1¢	$2.39	−$4.78	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?	Yes	404	32.9¢	0.1¢	$0.20	−$133	+$7.91	ended
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 12?	Yes	68	32.7¢	0.1¢	$0.03	−$22	−$43	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?	Yes	3,131	43.6¢	0¢	$0	−$1,365	+$1.60	ended
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	3,000	0.9¢	0¢	$0	−$27	−$1.07	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?	Yes	1,313	11¢	0¢	$0	−$144	+$79	ended
Will T1 win MSI 2026?	Yes	1,296	25.3¢	0¢	$0	−$328	−$6.48	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 23?	Yes	1,194	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$5.15	−$0.47	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 20?	No	1,072	84.8¢	0¢	$0	−$910	−$3.95	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 1?	Yes	1,034	20.6¢	0¢	$0	−$213	−$3.39	ended
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1,000	16.5¢	0¢	$0	−$165	−$4.13	ended
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1,000	9.4¢	0¢	$0	−$94	−$2.56	ended
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1,000	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$8.00	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 5?	Yes	987	7.2¢	0¢	$0	−$72	+$6.69	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 20?	Yes	949	12.9¢	0¢	$0	−$123	−$3.10	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?	Yes	920	73.3¢	0¢	$0	−$675	+$18	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 15?	Yes	899	23.4¢	0¢	$0	−$210	−$2.77	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 11?	Yes	800	25¢	0¢	$0	−$200	−$4.65	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 23?	Yes	800	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$0.80	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 22?	Yes	599	68.2¢	0¢	$0	−$409	−$243	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 6?	Yes	592	2.7¢	0¢	$0	−$16	−$77	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 29?	Yes	581	37.1¢	0¢	$0	−$215	−$11	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 21?	Yes	581	15.3¢	0¢	$0	−$89	−$2.73	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 6?	Yes	561	17.8¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$97	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 24?	Yes	543	3¢	0¢	$0	−$16	+$36	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 20?	Yes	528	29.8¢	0¢	$0	−$157	−$5.52	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 9?	Yes	521	5.3¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$6.91	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 15?	Yes	500	1¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	$0	ended
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	500	55.1¢	0¢	$0	−$275	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 21?	Yes	486	23.3¢	0¢	$0	−$113	−$0.87	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?	Yes	460	30.5¢	0¢	$0	−$140	+$13	ended
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 7?	Yes	459	62.2¢	0¢	$0	−$286	−$1.58	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 30?	Yes	428	3.9¢	0¢	$0	−$17	−$0.06	ended
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	414	35.5¢	0¢	$0	−$147	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 9?	Yes	410	35.9¢	0¢	$0	−$147	−$4.13	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 14?	Yes	400	42.9¢	0¢	$0	−$172	−$4.82	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 14?	Yes	384	11.8¢	0¢	$0	−$45	−$2.00	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 7?	Yes	382	36.8¢	0¢	$0	−$141	−$14	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 30?	Yes	380	24¢	0¢	$0	−$91	−$0.39	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 18?	Yes	356	31.4¢	0¢	$0	−$112	−$3.09	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	350	11.3¢	0¢	$0	−$40	+$27	ended
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 10?	Yes	339	14.3¢	0¢	$0	−$48	−$1.61	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 28?	Yes	332	35¢	0¢	$0	−$116	+$7.55	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	Yes	327	6.9¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$0.48	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 7?	Yes	314	28.8¢	0¢	$0	−$90	−$26	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?	Yes	310	46.3¢	0¢	$0	−$143	−$4.51	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 20?	No	304	32.6¢	0¢	$0	−$99	−$2.66	ended
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?	Yes	300	8¢	0¢	$0	−$24	−$0.88	ended
Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?	Yes	300	11¢	0¢	$0	−$33	−$1.17	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 8?	Yes	300	24¢	0¢	$0	−$72	−$1.96	ended
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?	Yes	299	46¢	0¢	$0	−$138	+$15	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9?	Yes	292	28.8¢	0¢	$0	−$84	−$2.97	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 2?	Yes	291	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$11	+$1.32	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 18?	Yes	290	27.2¢	0¢	$0	−$79	−$2.86	ended
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	273	13.7¢	0¢	$0	−$37	−$1.20	ended
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 9?	Yes	272	35.3¢	0¢	$0	−$96	−$100	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 22?	Yes	261	29.7¢	0¢	$0	−$77	−$5.44	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 25?	Yes	257	15¢	0¢	$0	−$39	−$8.56	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 13?	Yes	241	4.7¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 23?	Yes	241	22.5¢	0¢	$0	−$54	−$1.34	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 12?	Yes	226	30.5¢	0¢	$0	−$69	−$2.40	ended
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 11?	Yes	206	17¢	0¢	$0	−$35	−$1.29	ended
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	200	31¢	0¢	$0	−$62	$0	ended
Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	200	24.5¢	0¢	$0	−$49	$0	ended
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	200	39¢	0¢	$0	−$78	−$2.38	ended
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	200	27¢	0¢	$0	−$54	−$1.97	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28?	No	200	1.3¢	0¢	$0	−$2.60	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 17?	Yes	200	15¢	0¢	$0	−$30	$0	ended
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 11?	No	199	1.8¢	0¢	$0	−$3.60	−$0.16	ended
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 23?	Yes	193	34.4¢	0¢	$0	−$66	−$1.74	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 11?	Yes	171	11.8¢	0¢	$0	−$20	+$5.25	ended
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on August 20?	Yes	170	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$3.54	−$0.17	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 16?	Yes	166	16.8¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$1.05	ended
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 5?	Yes	165	44.9¢	0¢	$0	−$74	−$2.04	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?	Yes	161	25¢	0¢	$0	−$40	+$72	ended
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 7?	Yes	152	10.9¢	0¢	$0	−$16	−$2.11	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 14?	Yes	151	5.4¢	0¢	$0	−$8.09	$0	ended
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 24?	Yes	150	26.1¢	0¢	$0	−$39	−$1.45	ended
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 14?	Yes	148	14¢	0¢	$0	−$21	−$0.89	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	148	19¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$1.14	ended
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 11?	Yes	135	32.3¢	0¢	$0	−$44	−$8.83	ended
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 29?	Yes	131	23.4¢	0¢	$0	−$31	−$1.17	ended
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 15?	Yes	130	37¢	0¢	$0	−$48	−$1.52	ended
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 26?	Yes	129	24.7¢	0¢	$0	−$32	−$8.30	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 22?	Yes	126	36.9¢	0¢	$0	−$47	+$6.55	ended
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 4?	Yes	126	27¢	0¢	$0	−$34	−$1.24	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 21?	Yes	126	20.9¢	0¢	$0	−$26	−$0.97	ended
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 28?	Yes	124	24.9¢	0¢	$0	−$31	−$1.14	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 1?	Yes	121	4.7¢	0¢	$0	−$5.73	−$0.27	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 19?	No	119	2¢	0¢	$0	−$2.38	−$0.03	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 8?	Yes	115	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?	Yes	112	8.3¢	0¢	$0	−$9.31	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 7?	Yes	112	9.2¢	0¢	$0	−$10	+$5.66	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
2h ago	BUY No	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 14?	61.8¢	191	$118	73%	81	Sharp
3h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14?	49¢	263	$129	73%	81	Sharp
4h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 13?	8.1¢	613	$50	73%	81	Sharp
4h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 13?	48¢	7	$3.36	73%	81	Sharp
4h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 13?	47.4¢	487	$231	73%	81	Sharp
5h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14?	38.9¢	460	$179	73%	81	Sharp
6h ago	BUY Yes	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 13?	28.8¢	25	$7.20	73%	81	Sharp
8h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14?	35¢	170	$60	73%	81	Sharp
10h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?	2.2¢	10	$0.22	73%	81	Sharp
11h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?	2.5¢	61	$1.52	73%	81	Sharp
12h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?	31¢	10	$3.10	73%	81	Sharp
12h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12?	61¢	16	$9.89	73%	81	Sharp
12h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?	55¢	24	$13	73%	81	Sharp
12h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12?	41¢	30	$12	73%	81	Sharp
12h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?	55¢	35	$19	73%	81	Sharp
12h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?	56¢	30	$17	73%	81	Sharp
12h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12?	32¢	17	$5.55	73%	81	Sharp
13h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12?	39¢	80	$31	73%	81	Sharp
13h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?	53¢	40	$21	73%	81	Sharp
13h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12?	35¢	35	$12	73%	81	Sharp