sharpside
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MaryGarcia6799

0xf7a…fee3
PoliticsSportCultureOtherWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,076vol $496k
PnL 30d−$80gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$177win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.6%adj 57.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$7,522cash n/a
Positions68 / 468open / all-time
Max drawdown−45.1%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 3mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,909below peak −$943Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 57.6% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity55

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 68

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?Yes1,72259¢100¢$1,722+$706$0
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?No96467¢100¢$964+$318$0
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State GamecocksJacksonville State Gamecocks84784.9¢100¢$847+$128$0
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?SpaceX73082¢100¢$730+$131$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No57064¢93.5¢$533+$168$0
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$14085329¢60.1¢$513+$265$0
Bellarmine Knights vs. Northern Illinois HuskiesNorthern Illinois Huskies79050¢50¢$395$0$0
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins73049¢50¢$365+$7.30$0
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 19)Yes30080¢100¢$300+$60−$111
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?No26862¢100¢$268+$102$0
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No27937.9¢89¢$248+$143+$88
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri LankaAfghanistan65827.7¢15.2¢$100−$82$0
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?No8674¢100¢$86+$22$0
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over8441¢100¢$84+$50$0
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes95781.2¢8.8¢$84−$693$0
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 3AM ETDown6950¢100¢$69+$35$0
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 11PM ETUp5150¢100¢$51+$26$0
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. South Dakota CoyotesSouth Dakota Coyotes4174¢100¢$41+$11$0
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes8648¢46¢$40−$1.72$0
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?No3085¢100¢$30+$4.50+$67
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Under2069¢100¢$20+$6.20$0
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC1183¢100¢$11+$1.87$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes103.1¢100¢$10+$9.69+$0.36
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?No483¢96.9¢$3.87+$0.55−$73
Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" during the State of the Union address?No387¢100¢$3.00+$0.39+$8.10
Deel IPO before 2027?No262¢99.5¢$1.99+$0.75+$0.09
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No271¢94.8¢$1.90+$0.47$0
Will Leléka win Vidbir 2026?Yes129¢100¢$1.00+$0.71+$5.67
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?Yes143¢29¢$0.29−$0.14+$27
Will Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes96826¢0¢$0−$252$0
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Over94832¢0¢$0−$303$0
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?Yes93084¢0¢$0−$781$0
Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?Yes83711.2¢0¢$0−$94$0
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Over80125¢0¢$0−$200$0
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC77424.3¢0¢$0−$188$0
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?Yes76527¢0¢$0−$207$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?No69543¢0¢$0−$299$0
Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5Under63922.7¢0¢$0−$145$0
Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes57218.6¢0¢$0−$106$0
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI56315.1¢0¢$0−$85$0
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 6PM ETDown49450¢0¢$0−$247$0
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon AntelopesSan Diego State Aztecs42511¢0¢$0−$47$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ETUp41350¢0¢$0−$207$0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Under40075.7¢0¢$0−$303$0
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?Yes37062.8¢0¢$0−$232$0
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America PlayoffsM8033248¢0¢$0−$159$0
Bulls vs. HeatHeat31911.7¢0¢$0−$37$0
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar CardinalsEast Texas A&M Lions31811.2¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?No27358¢0¢$0−$158$0
Will Macarthur FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?Yes25111¢0¢$0−$28$0
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State RamsColorado State Rams24818.4¢0¢$0−$46$0
Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?Yes24811¢0¢$0−$27$0
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No18922¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?No18518¢0¢$0−$33$0
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?No18582.9¢0¢$0−$153−$224
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 1AM ETDown16750¢0¢$0−$84$0
Will Alexander Rybak win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?Yes15449¢0¢$0−$76+$27
Will Mark Rutte say "Peace" or "War" 3+ times during his speech on April 9?No15432¢0¢$0−$49$0
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?No12970¢0¢$0−$90−$561
Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?No11982¢0¢$0−$98$0
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?No7814¢0¢$0−$11+$20
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?Yes640.8¢0¢$0−$0.51−$0.06
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No5677¢0¢$0−$43−$586
Will Trump say "Michigan" during the State of the Union address?No2457¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?Yes413¢0¢$0−$0.52+$9.14
L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?Yes21.1¢0¢$0−$0.02$0
Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)?Yes11.7¢0¢$0−$0.02$0
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?Yes145¢0¢$0−$0.45−$23

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWeed rescheduled by December 31?70.4¢979$68958%48
SELL YesWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?83¢70$5858%48
SELL YesWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?69¢9$6.2158%48
SELL NoWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?6¢487$2958%48
SELL NoWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?6¢70$4.2058%48
SELL NoWill Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?65¢478$31158%48
BUY Northern Illinois HuskiesBellarmine Knights vs. Northern Illinois Huskies50¢790$39558%48
SELL NoWill San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?82¢57$4758%48
SELL NoWill San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?82¢63$5258%48
SELL NoWill San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?82¢68$5658%48
SELL NoAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?87¢167$14558%48
SELL NoAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?87¢198$17258%48
SELL NoAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?87¢174$15158%48
SELL NoWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?27¢328$8958%48
SELL NoWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?27¢189$5158%48
SELL NoManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score22¢252$5558%48
SELL NoWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?10.5¢836$8858%48
SELL NoWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?27¢150$4158%48
SELL NoManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score22¢336$7458%48
SELL YesWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?77¢8$6.1658%48