sharpside
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Traders/Rank #11,181

IngressDefender

0xf7a…ddd6
Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$16.0kvol $1.32M
PnL 30d−$790gains $656 · losses $1,276
PnL 7d−$620win rate 7d 21.6%
Win rate14.8%adj 16.2% · 30d 23.2%
Open value$269cash n/a
Positions9 / 11,260open / all-time
Max drawdown−99.8%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$13.2kbelow peak −$13.2kOct 14

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 14.8% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 2

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 15?Yes93847¢28.5¢$267−$173−$14
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 15?Yes354¢35¢$1.10−$0.60$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 16?0.1¢2$015%27
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 16?97¢31$3015%27
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 16?96¢31$3015%27
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 16?59¢31$1815%27
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 15?37¢20$7.4015%27
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or higher on October 15?0.2¢20$0.0415%27
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 15?95.9¢20$1915%27
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 15?93¢20$1915%27
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?64¢20$1315%27
SELL NoWill exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?56¢16$8.7115%27
SELL NoWill exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?56.8¢273$15515%27
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 14?2.1¢8$0.1715%27
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 14?2.2¢20$0.4415%27
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 14?2.1¢29$0.6115%27
SELL NoWill exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?56¢50$2815%27
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 14?1.6¢6$0.1015%27
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 14?2.1¢5$0.1115%27
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 14?2.1¢5$0.1115%27
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 14?2.4¢4$0.0915%27
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 14?0.2¢40$0.0815%27