PnL all-time−$73vol $68.4k
PnL 30d+$0.68gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.25win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate52.2%adj 51.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$374cash n/a
Positions12 / 125open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.5%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$83below peak −$107Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.2% · shrunk toward 50%29
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yesclosed+$91Will $DJT's market cap be between 4b and 4.25b · Noclosed+$60Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31? · Yesclosed+$42MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8? · Yesclosed+$40Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$36
Worst markets
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$146Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season? · Noclosed−$75Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale? · Noopen−$71Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? · Noopen−$49Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Noopen−$33
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? | No | 271 | 96.1¢ | 97.4¢ | $264 | +$3.45 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | No | 75 | 98¢ | 97¢ | $73 | −$0.75 | −$5.95 | |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | 35 | 93.8¢ | 98.4¢ | $34 | +$1.59 | −$0.09 | |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 52 | 31¢ | 5.5¢ | $2.86 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 668 | 21.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$146 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9? | Yes | 248 | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Yes | 221 | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.98 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in December 2025? | Yes | 118 | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.07 | $0 | |
| Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale? | No | 100 | 68¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$68 | −$3.16 | |
| Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | Yes | 34 | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.41 | $0 | |
| Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | No | 10 | 71¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.10 | −$42 | |
| Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 6 | 58.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.50 | −$30 |
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