PnL all-time−$2,288vol $186k
PnL 30d−$731gains $0 · losses $838
PnL 7d−$125win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 4.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$20cash n/a
Positions9 / 223open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 4h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,956below peak −$1,956Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026? · Noclosed−$382Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yesclosed−$96Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 49.0 in July? · Yesclosed−$82Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$81Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$63
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | No | 4 | 90.5¢ | 100¢ | $4.42 | +$0.42 | −$2.45 | |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | 90¢ | 93.7¢ | $4.40 | +$0.17 | −$0.60 | |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | Yes | 4 | 56.5¢ | 100¢ | $4.00 | +$1.74 | $0 | |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? | No | 4 | 87.4¢ | 95.4¢ | $3.79 | +$0.32 | −$2.23 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1? | Yes | 4 | 84.4¢ | 100¢ | $3.76 | +$0.59 | −$12 | |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? | Yes | 14 | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.93 | $0 | |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? | No | 4 | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.28 | $0 | |
| Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year? | Yes | 3 | 52.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.34 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.43 | −$3.60 |
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