| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 15.0k | 93.3¢ | 97¢ | $14.6k | +$552 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 6,233 | 75.9¢ | 83.5¢ | $5,205 | +$476 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1,703 | 11.3¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,217 | +$1,024 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,403 | 80.3¢ | 86.5¢ | $1,213 | +$87 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 879 | 91¢ | 95.5¢ | $840 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | No | 806 | 93.1¢ | 95.9¢ | $773 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 750 | 83¢ | 97¢ | $727 | +$104 | −$3.00 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 864 | 78.4¢ | 70.3¢ | $607 | −$70 | $0 | |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 1,000 | 46¢ | 52.5¢ | $525 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 513 | 92.9¢ | 96.2¢ | $493 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1,422 | 64.9¢ | 32.5¢ | $462 | −$461 | −$3.46 | |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 2,500 | 12¢ | 16.5¢ | $413 | +$113 | $0 | |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 2,000 | 18¢ | 20.5¢ | $410 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5,047 | 7.8¢ | 8¢ | $401 | +$7.57 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 430 | 78.5¢ | 82.2¢ | $353 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 375 | 90.2¢ | 89.9¢ | $337 | −$1.34 | $0 | |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 811 | 37¢ | 39.5¢ | $320 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 730 | 30¢ | 41.5¢ | $303 | +$84 | $0 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 285 | 85.8¢ | 95.6¢ | $272 | +$28 | +$791 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4,450 | 4.8¢ | 5.6¢ | $247 | +$33 | $0 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 269 | 76.6¢ | 88.5¢ | $238 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | Yes | 317 | 52¢ | 74.5¢ | $236 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 238 | 53¢ | 97.5¢ | $232 | +$106 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 228 | 54.2¢ | 95.7¢ | $218 | +$94 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,139 | 21.6¢ | 18.5¢ | $211 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 3,525 | 21.8¢ | 5.1¢ | $180 | −$587 | −$0.10 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 206 | 84.1¢ | 85¢ | $175 | +$1.66 | +$2.36 | |
| Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | Yes | 1,200 | 16¢ | 14.1¢ | $169 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 17.4k | 2.3¢ | 1¢ | $165 | −$235 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 246 | 59.4¢ | 58.5¢ | $144 | −$2.14 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 687 | 19.7¢ | 19.5¢ | $134 | −$1.16 | $0 | |
| Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 1,500 | 14¢ | 8.5¢ | $128 | −$82 | $0 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 126 | 90.7¢ | 95.5¢ | $120 | +$6.08 | $0 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 115 | 86.8¢ | 96.5¢ | $111 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 256 | 32.3¢ | 42.5¢ | $109 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 112 | 91.8¢ | 95.5¢ | $107 | +$4.17 | $0 | |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4,262 | 1.8¢ | 2.5¢ | $104 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 21¢ | 6.5¢ | $97 | −$217 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 113 | 74¢ | 85.5¢ | $96 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 9,730 | 0.8¢ | 1¢ | $92 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 178 | 49.4¢ | 48.5¢ | $86 | −$1.52 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 136 | 49.4¢ | 62.5¢ | $85 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 850 | 16.6¢ | 8.5¢ | $72 | −$69 | $0 | |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 83 | 78.8¢ | 84.5¢ | $70 | +$4.75 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 70 | 96.2¢ | 96.8¢ | $68 | +$0.37 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 151 | 44.2¢ | 43.5¢ | $66 | −$1.11 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 82 | 86.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $65 | −$5.82 | $0 | |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 173 | 23.6¢ | 37.7¢ | $65 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 83 | 86.1¢ | 76.5¢ | $64 | −$8.03 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 92 | 63.9¢ | 67.5¢ | $62 | +$3.30 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 104 | 63.8¢ | 58.5¢ | $61 | −$5.48 | $0 | |
| Stripe IPO before 2027? | No | 62 | 85¢ | 97.2¢ | $61 | +$7.54 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 375 | 27.5¢ | 15.5¢ | $58 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? | No | 60 | 95¢ | 92¢ | $56 | −$1.81 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 161 | 62¢ | 31.5¢ | $51 | −$49 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 135 | 48¢ | 37.5¢ | $51 | −$14 | −$0.26 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 125 | 54.5¢ | 39.5¢ | $49 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 957 | 4.2¢ | 5.1¢ | $49 | +$8.61 | $0 | |
| Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 126 | 27¢ | 38.5¢ | $49 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1,089 | 11¢ | 4.5¢ | $48 | −$71 | +$0.04 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? | Yes | 49 | 95.4¢ | 97.3¢ | $48 | +$0.91 | $0 | |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | No | 48 | 90¢ | 98.7¢ | $47 | +$4.16 | $0 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 46 | 80.1¢ | 97.2¢ | $45 | +$7.94 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 114 | 51.7¢ | 39.5¢ | $45 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | No | 47 | 82.4¢ | 95.1¢ | $44 | +$5.90 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 191 | 41.6¢ | 23¢ | $44 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1,444 | 2.9¢ | 2.9¢ | $43 | +$0.91 | $0 | |
| Theo James announced as next James Bond? | No | 39 | 94.7¢ | 99.8¢ | $39 | +$2.02 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 40 | 93¢ | 95.9¢ | $38 | +$1.16 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | No | 40 | 93¢ | 96¢ | $38 | +$1.17 | $0 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 2,092 | 15.1¢ | 1.8¢ | $38 | −$278 | $0 | |
| Tom Lee charged by December 31? | No | 38 | 91¢ | 97.8¢ | $37 | +$2.60 | $0 | |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 38 | 84¢ | 95.5¢ | $37 | +$4.41 | $0 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,051 | 2.7¢ | 3.4¢ | $36 | +$7.36 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 60 | 64¢ | 59.5¢ | $36 | −$2.70 | $0 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 35 | 51¢ | 97.3¢ | $34 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 113 | 45¢ | 26.5¢ | $30 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 48 | 66¢ | 59¢ | $29 | −$3.39 | −$5.05 | |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 29 | 75¢ | 96.2¢ | $28 | +$6.12 | $0 | |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 63 | 68.3¢ | 43.5¢ | $27 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? | Yes | 28 | 93¢ | 97.6¢ | $27 | +$1.26 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026? | Yes | 27 | 93.3¢ | 98.3¢ | $26 | +$1.34 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | Yes | 104 | 9.8¢ | 25.1¢ | $26 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | No | 27 | 93¢ | 95.6¢ | $26 | +$0.69 | $0 | |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 36 | 51.4¢ | 71.5¢ | $25 | +$7.15 | $0 | |
| Tim Walz in jail by December 31? | No | 25 | 94¢ | 99.7¢ | $25 | +$1.43 | $0 | |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? | Yes | 25 | 69.8¢ | 97.2¢ | $24 | +$6.85 | $0 | |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 155 | 11¢ | 15.5¢ | $24 | +$6.97 | $0 | |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | No | 23 | 93.2¢ | 99.5¢ | $23 | +$1.46 | $0 | |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 27 | 73.5¢ | 86.5¢ | $23 | +$3.45 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 23 | 83.4¢ | 98¢ | $23 | +$3.40 | $0 | |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | No | 23 | 88.8¢ | 98¢ | $23 | +$2.13 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 23 | 93¢ | 97.5¢ | $23 | +$1.05 | $0 | |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 23 | 94¢ | 96.6¢ | $23 | +$0.59 | $0 | |
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | No | 23 | 77.2¢ | 96.5¢ | $23 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2,961 | 4.7¢ | 0.8¢ | $22 | −$118 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 25 | 68¢ | 88.5¢ | $22 | +$5.12 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | No | 25 | 77.2¢ | 87.5¢ | $22 | +$2.57 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | Yes | 23 | 93¢ | 93¢ | $22 | $0 | $0 | |
| Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 23 | 21.2¢ | 92.9¢ | $22 | +$17 | $0 | |
