sharpside
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Traders/Rank #9,810

thesandman

0xf87…180a
1y+SportCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$30.8kvol $820k
PnL 30d−$40gains $2,141 · losses $9,304
PnL 7d+$118win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate29.7%adj 30.4% · 30d 19.5%
Open value$3,470cash n/a
Positions31 / 1,062open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$30.7kbelow peak −$30.9kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 29.7% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No68067.4¢86.5¢$588+$130$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes70337.2¢41.5¢$292+$30+$181
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes1,98120¢14.5¢$287−$109$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No32456.4¢84.5¢$274+$91$0
Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?Yes48940.8¢52.5¢$257+$57+$3.60
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No1,21119.4¢19.5¢$236+$1.09+$85
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes81535.8¢28.5¢$232−$59+$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No20049.9¢95.9¢$192+$92$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No19478.5¢91¢$176+$24$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No19975¢75¢$150$0$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes84615.2¢16.5¢$140+$11$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No10392.4¢93.9¢$96+$1.49$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes1,31919.1¢6.1¢$80−$172+$218
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo20042¢38.5¢$77−$7.00$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes35849.2¢16.5¢$59−$117−$5.17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No8169.5¢68.5¢$56−$0.81−$45
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Yes7259.6¢66.5¢$48+$4.97$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes30025¢14.5¢$44−$32$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes66411.4¢6.5¢$43−$32+$21
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No3996¢95.6¢$38−$0.18$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes10239¢30.5¢$31−$8.71$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes7621¢30.7¢$23+$7.37$0
Plague pandemic in 2026?Yes9382.6¢2.2¢$21−$4.11$0
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Yes4609.8¢2.8¢$13−$32−$49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes1745¢43.3¢$7.32−$0.29+$21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes946¢4.2¢$3.90−$1.74$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes30017.8¢1.1¢$3.15−$50$0
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes6528¢4.5¢$2.92−$15$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes2511¢6.5¢$1.63−$1.13$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?48¢25$1230%25
BUY NoWill Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?48¢20$9.6030%25
BUY YesWill Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?48¢50$2430%25
BUY YesWill Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?42¢160$6730%25
BUY YesWill Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?40.9¢89$3730%25
BUY YesWill Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?36.9¢55$2030%25
BUY YesWill Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?38¢20$7.6030%25
BUY YesWill Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?35¢20$7.0030%25
BUY YesWill Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?38.8¢30$1230%25
BUY YesWill Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?35¢20$7.0030%25
BUY YesWill Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?39¢30$1230%25
BUY YesWill Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?39¢20$7.8030%25
BUY YesWill Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?40¢20$8.0030%25
BUY YesWill Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?46¢20$9.2030%25
BUY YesPlague pandemic in 2026?2.6¢345$8.9730%25
BUY YesPlague pandemic in 2026?2.6¢114$2.9730%25
BUY YesPlague pandemic in 2026?3¢50$1.5030%25
BUY YesPlague pandemic in 2026?3¢20$0.6030%25
BUY YesPlague pandemic in 2026?2.4¢198$4.7430%25
BUY YesPlague pandemic in 2026?2.4¢63$1.5030%25