sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,308

newbie77

0xf88…6b54
SharpWhaleWR 70+WR 60+OtherPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,022vol $376k
PnL 30d+$1,157gains $1,528 · losses $290
PnL 7d+$657win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate75.8%adj 74.5% · 30d 89.7%
Open value$37.0kcash n/a
Positions76 / 441open / all-time
Max drawdown−39.9%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,602below peak −$233Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 75.8% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity60

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 76

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No29.1k87.8¢90.5¢$26.4k+$774+$0.84
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?Yes4,05142.4¢36.5¢$1,479−$238+$203
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,52080.4¢93.5¢$1,421+$199$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,50087.7¢88.5¢$1,328+$11−$65
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No97990.2¢93.5¢$916+$32$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No80082.1¢90.5¢$724+$67$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?No73979.3¢82¢$606+$20$0
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes1,68932.9¢32.5¢$549−$6.78+$77
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in October?No40096¢98.2¢$393+$8.60$0
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No70045.1¢43.5¢$304−$11+$29
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No32892.3¢92.5¢$303+$0.43$0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?No30096¢95.9¢$288−$0.45$0
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No30089¢90.5¢$272+$4.50$0
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Yes48349¢46¢$222−$15+$39
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Yes28258.3¢62¢$175+$10+$4.65
Will Sergio Massa win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No16288.8¢94.5¢$153+$9.29$0
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?Yes51329.8¢29.5¢$151−$1.30+$2.75
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026?No15782.2¢93.3¢$147+$17+$14
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?No13091.8¢95.2¢$124+$4.45−$12
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1499.99 at the end of December 2026?No12193.9¢95.4¢$115+$1.79+$19
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No9995.2¢97.6¢$97+$2.36+$38
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in October?No10093¢96.9¢$97+$3.90$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?No10088¢96¢$96+$7.95$0
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes23721.7¢39¢$93+$41+$19
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1400.00 and 1449.99 at the end of December 2026?No8490.4¢94.4¢$79+$3.34+$16
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes7,2010.2¢1.1¢$76+$64+$15
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in October?Yes10067¢59.5¢$60−$7.50$0
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?No6087.8¢92.3¢$56+$2.68+$3.07
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10039.3¢48.4¢$48+$9.15$0
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes6,0000.5¢0.7¢$42+$12+$4.94
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes9,0720.1¢0.4¢$32+$23$0
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026?No4284.5¢70.1¢$29−$6.00+$5.69
Will Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes9,0720.1¢0.3¢$27+$18$0
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?Yes25413.8¢9.5¢$24−$11+$16
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026?No2494.2¢96.9¢$24+$0.65−$121
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10018.9¢14.9¢$15−$4.06+$16
Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes8,3230.1¢0.2¢$12+$4.16$0
Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Argentina?No1285.3¢92.6¢$11+$0.87+$8.53
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes4900.7¢2¢$9.80+$6.29+$71
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes1507.7¢6.5¢$9.76−$1.77+$38
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?Yes2127¢32.5¢$6.82+$1.15+$16
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1300.00 and 1349.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes1310.3¢5.1¢$6.75+$6.31+$3.88
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1250.00 and 1299.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes1220.7¢5.3¢$6.38+$5.53$0
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1350.00 and 1399.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes1170.6¢5.3¢$6.17+$5.48+$7.21
Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2,0000.3¢0.3¢$6.00−$0.84+$4.01
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2,0000.4¢0.3¢$6.00−$1.98+$14
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes1,0000.5¢0.5¢$5.00$0$0
Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes1,1780.3¢0.3¢$2.95−$0.78$0
Will Guillermo Moreno win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes7330.2¢0.3¢$1.83+$0.37$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes1,2000.8¢0¢$0−$9.60−$0.29
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50029.9¢0¢$0−$150+$97
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50011.8¢0¢$0−$59−$1.56
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50010.4¢0¢$0−$52−$1.40
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5005.5¢0¢$0−$28−$0.78
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5008.6¢0¢$0−$43−$1.18
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5005.5¢0¢$0−$27−$0.78
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5005.8¢0¢$0−$29−$0.82
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?No40075¢0¢$0−$300−$2.25
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5Over20085¢0¢$0−$170−$0.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETUp20018.3¢0¢$0−$37+$30
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under14376¢0¢$0−$109−$1.30
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Yes1242.6¢0¢$0−$3.28$0
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?Yes1022.4¢0¢$0−$2.47$0
Will Racing Club win on 2026-09-18?No10047¢0¢$0−$47−$1.25
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?Yes7940¢0¢$0−$32$0
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5Over5063¢0¢$0−$32−$0.35
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5Over5039¢0¢$0−$20−$0.36
CA Central Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5Under5062¢0¢$0−$31−$0.59
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes4041.2¢0¢$0−$16−$11
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 6?Yes3513.9¢0¢$0−$4.92−$0.21
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5Under3056¢0¢$0−$17−$0.37
Will the margin of victory at the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest be 15.25-20 HDBs?Yes201¢0¢$0−$0.20−$0.01
Rainbow Six Siege: Four Angry Men vs Kingzone (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group StageFour Angry Men1631.7¢0¢$0−$5.17−$1.42
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes1084¢0¢$0−$8.40−$0.05
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?No560¢0¢$0−$3.13$0
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 6?Yes53¢0¢$0−$0.15−$0.01

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?38.9¢375$14676%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?79.3¢739$58676%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Pep Guardiola's next job be Argentina?97¢58$5676%72Sharp
SELL YesWill Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?39¢381$14976%72Sharp
SELL YesWill Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?32¢139$4476%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?94.4¢53$5076%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?58.6¢379$22276%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?95.6¢500$47876%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?96.4¢11$1176%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?29.4¢628$18576%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Sergio Massa win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?90¢113$10176%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Guillermo Moreno win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?0.2¢30$0.0676%72Sharp
SELL YesWill Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?1¢30$0.3076%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Sergio Massa win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?86¢50$4376%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?87.8¢113$9976%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Pep Guardiola's next job be Argentina?85.3¢90$7776%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?0.1¢9,072$9.0776%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?0.1¢9,072$9.0776%72Sharp
SELL YesWill Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?1¢300$3.0476%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?27.8¢260$7276%72Sharp