Traders/Unranked

0xf8e…51d0

PoliticsOther

PnL all-time−$418vol $5,440

PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0

PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%

Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%

Open value$152cash n/a

Positions2 / 6open / all-time

Max drawdown−51.0%of equity peak

Account age6molast trade 4mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$402below peak −$440Oct 12

10/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable26

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity49

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	152	65.9¢	100¢	$152	+$52	$0	ended
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	280	71.5¢	0¢	$0	−$200	$0	ended

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
4mo ago	SELL No	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	35.7¢	845	$302	50%	10
5mo ago	BUY No	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	35.5¢	845	$300	50%	10
5mo ago	SELL No	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	95.3¢	462	$441	50%	10
5mo ago	BUY No	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	90.4¢	462	$418	50%	10
6mo ago	BUY No	Iran leadership change by June 30?	65.9¢	152	$100	50%	10
6mo ago	BUY No	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	70.6¢	277	$195	50%	10
6mo ago	BUY No	US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	96.1¢	312	$300	50%	10
6mo ago	SELL Yes	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	98¢	1,039	$1,018	50%	10
6mo ago	BUY Yes	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	95.9¢	1,039	$996	50%	10