PnL all-time+$43.4kvol $4.16M
PnL 30d−$1,989gains $2,425 · losses $480
PnL 7d−$1,275win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate84.4%adj 80.9% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$63.9kcash n/a
Positions10 / 192open / all-time
Max drawdown−24.2%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$38.9kbelow peak −$2,221Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 84.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable76
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity76
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$13.6kNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$3,264Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Noclosed+$3,132Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? · Noclosed+$2,628Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$2,543
Worst markets
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$13.6kWill the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass? · Yesclosed−$7,960Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yesopen−$4,069Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yesopen−$2,481Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28? · Yesclosed−$1,915
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 45.0k | 50¢ | 80.2¢ | $36.1k | +$13.6k | $0 | |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 17.2k | 81¢ | 73.5¢ | $12.6k | −$1,291 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 45.0k | 50¢ | 19.9¢ | $8,933 | −$13.6k | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 2,000 | 92¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,810 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2,000 | 92¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,810 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 2,000 | 77¢ | 56.5¢ | $1,130 | −$410 | $0 | |
| Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? | Yes | 1,040 | 85¢ | 92.5¢ | $962 | +$78 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 3,100 | 91¢ | 11¢ | $341 | −$2,481 | $0 | |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 600 | 22.2¢ | 33.3¢ | $200 | +$67 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | Yes | 1,575 | 13.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$214 | −$3,855 |
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