PnL all-time−$29vol $22.7k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate34.8%adj 41.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$380cash n/a
Positions8 / 32open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.4%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$29below peak −$28Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
18/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 34.8% · shrunk toward 50%5
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament? · Noclosed+$7.07Bitcoin above $120,000 on August 4? · Noclosed+$2.16Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? · Noclosed+$1.83Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Noclosed+$0.80Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 30? · Noopen+$0.76
Worst markets
Will Pierre Gasly finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? · Noclosed−$17Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025? · Yesopen−$3.42Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2300 on June 22 at 5PM ET? · Noopen−$3.15Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 12? · Yesopen−$3.04Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 15-21? · Yesclosed−$2.61
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 30? | No | 380 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $380 | +$0.76 | $0 | |
| Will South Korea win Miss Universe 2025? | Yes | 520 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.56 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025? | Yes | 489 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.42 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 12? | Yes | 465 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.04 | $0 | |
| Will XRP reach $2.60 in March? | Yes | 464 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.56 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2300 on June 22 at 5PM ET? | No | 350 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.15 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | Yes | 36 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.27 | −$2.23 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 20? | Yes | 14 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.04 | −$1.06 |
Recent trades
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