PnL all-time+$27.5kvol $1.04M
PnL 30d+$21.9kgains $73.2k · losses $75.2k
PnL 7d−$3,910win rate 7d 14.3%
Win rate40.9%adj 41.2% · 30d 40.9%
Open value$1,697cash n/a
Positions6 / 851open / all-time
Max drawdown−23.5%of equity peak
Account age22dlast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$27.2kbelow peak −$8,372Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 40.9% · shrunk toward 50%3
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity77
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 2,150 | 52.9¢ | 30¢ | $645 | −$493 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 1,863 | 69.8¢ | 15.5¢ | $289 | −$1,012 | −$207 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 3,575 | 41.4¢ | 8¢ | $284 | −$1,195 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | 3,277 | 39.9¢ | 8.5¢ | $279 | −$1,028 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 34.5k | 1.2¢ | 0.4¢ | $121 | −$298 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | No | 135 | 12¢ | 59¢ | $80 | +$63 | +$110 |
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