sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,242

nedsta

0xf92…a517
SharpWhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$25.0kvol $3.70M
PnL 30d−$10.2kgains $6,901 · losses $7,902
PnL 7d−$7,511win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate88.7%adj 87.1% · 30d 76.5%
Open value$122kcash n/a
Positions29 / 489open / all-time
Max drawdown−44.3%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$33.6kbelow peak −$24.7kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 88.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity56

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No18.9k78.8¢83.5¢$15.8k+$888$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No16.3k91.7¢94.5¢$15.4k+$460$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No17.1k78.4¢89.5¢$15.3k+$1,900$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No15.0k89¢88.5¢$13.3k−$75$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No11.9k77.6¢94.5¢$11.3k+$2,020$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No10.6k96.4¢97.7¢$10.4k+$143$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No10.1k76.9¢90¢$9,073+$1,318$0
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No5,49087.3¢89.5¢$4,913+$122$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No4,00091¢90¢$3,600−$40$0
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No3,64688.5¢89.5¢$3,263+$37$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No3,27885.1¢94.5¢$3,098+$309−$11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes3,31481.9¢81.5¢$2,701−$12$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes3,27168.8¢78¢$2,551+$300$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No3,00086¢84.5¢$2,535−$45$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,90484.9¢85.7¢$2,488+$22$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes2,61989.1¢79.5¢$2,082−$252−$398
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Yes2,81470.7¢68.5¢$1,928−$62$0
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No1,29374.3¢92.5¢$1,196+$235$0
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No49778.6¢86.5¢$430+$39$0
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No11878¢97.9¢$115+$23$0
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No9678¢85.5¢$82+$7.20$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?No6289.5¢91.5¢$57+$1.24$0
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No3680¢95.5¢$35+$5.62$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes13.5k76.4¢0¢$0−$10.3k−$97
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No9,04898.1¢0¢$0−$8,880$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No6,32583.6¢0¢$0−$5,289$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No5,38292¢0¢$0−$4,952$0
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes4,00090¢0¢$0−$3,600$0
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes3,94095¢0¢$0−$3,743$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY No Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?88¢3,716$3,27089%74Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?91¢4,000$3,64089%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.9¢2,904$2,46689%74Sharp
BUY NoGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?89¢398$35489%74Sharp
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?96.9¢1,809$1,75289%74Sharp
BUY NoGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?91¢175$15989%74Sharp
BUY NoVenezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?89¢41$3789%74Sharp
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?97.7¢808$78989%74Sharp
BUY NoInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?89¢30$2789%74Sharp
BUY NoInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?89¢1,281$1,14089%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?80¢2,525$2,02089%74Sharp
BUY NoIran leadership change by December 31?89¢5,074$4,51689%74Sharp
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?86¢3,000$2,58089%74Sharp
BUY NoIran leadership change by December 31?89¢3,000$2,67089%74Sharp
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?94¢800$75289%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢800$68089%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?95.5¢31$3089%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?89.5¢62$5589%74Sharp
BUY NoInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?88.2¢2,335$2,06089%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?98.3¢859$84589%74Sharp