PnL all-time+$227kvol $16.9M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.3%adj 70.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions3 / 85open / all-time
Max drawdown−79.7%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 4mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$227kbelow peak −$259kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 75.3% · shrunk toward 50%76
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity20
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · Noclosed+$88.3kStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Noclosed+$54.5kUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? · Noclosed+$53.4kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$53.3kIran closes its airspace by May 24? · Noclosed+$34.7k
Worst markets
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$168kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$43.8kWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yesclosed−$30.5kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$29.5kWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? · Noclosed−$22.2k
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | Yes | 10,000 | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$250 | $0 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? | Yes | 5,000 | 95¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,750 | $0 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | Yes | 1 | 95.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.95 | +$322 |
Recent trades
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