PnL all-time−$2,853vol $34.9k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate70.6%adj 59.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$5,225cash n/a
Positions13 / 31open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.7%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,855below peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
18/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 70.6% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Kamala say "abortion" during Fox News interview? · Noclosed+$976Will Kamala say "gun" during Fox News interview? · Yesclosed+$423Will Trump say "Defund the police" during Georgia speech on Oct 15? · Yesclosed+$230Another Iran strike on Israel in October? · Noopen+$218Will Trump say "Kamalanomics" during Georgia speech on Oct 15? · Noclosed+$212
Worst markets
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election? · Noopen−$1,421Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yesopen−$1,257Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$1,051Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18? · Yesopen−$652Will Kamala say "Trump" 10 or more times during Fox News interview? · Noclosed−$597
Open positions · 13
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Biden finish his term? | Yes | 2,000 | 89.5¢ | 100¢ | $2,000 | +$210 | $0 | |
| Will Sinwar leave Gaza by October 31? | No | 1,705 | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | $1,705 | +$60 | +$30 | |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | No | 700 | 71¢ | 100¢ | $700 | +$203 | +$15 | |
| $100m in $WLFI sold before election? | No | 319 | 84¢ | 100¢ | $319 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during Michigan rally on October 18? | Yes | 300 | 90.3¢ | 100¢ | $300 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "weave" during Michigan rally on October 18? | No | 200 | 76.5¢ | 100¢ | $200 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | No | 1 | 86¢ | 100¢ | $1.07 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election? | No | 3,737 | 38¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,421 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2,600 | 40.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,051 | $0 | |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Yes | 1,940 | 64.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,257 | $0 | |
| Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | Yes | 1,000 | 46.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$464 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18? | Yes | 1,000 | 65.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$652 | $0 | |
| Will Bruno Engler win the 2024 Belo Horizonte mayoral election? | Yes | 117 | 22.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s