PnL all-time−$75vol $27.0k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate31.3%adj 41.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,050cash n/a
Positions8 / 27open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.8%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$75below peak −$75Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
16/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 31.3% · shrunk toward 50%4
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? · Noopen+$6.26Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 23–30? · Noclosed+$5.40Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? · Noopen+$5.30Will the Green Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election? · Noclosed+$1.66Will Elon tweet 200–214 times May 30–June 6? · Noclosed+$1.62
Worst markets
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? · Yesclosed−$72Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 November 17-23? · Yesopen−$5.00Will Ethereum reach $4,500 October 27-November 2? · Yesopen−$3.75Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,900 on September 28? · Yesopen−$2.61Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May? · Noclosed−$1.78
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 530 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $530 | +$5.30 | $0 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in March 2026? | No | 270 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $270 | +$0.54 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 250 | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | $250 | +$6.26 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 October 27-November 2? | Yes | 750 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.75 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 November 17-23? | Yes | 543 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | 440 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.76 | $0 | |
| Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? | Yes | 410 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.23 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,900 on September 28? | Yes | 290 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.61 | $0 |
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