PnL all-time−$667kvol $38.5M
PnL 30d−$419gains $9,402 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$9,665win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate80.4%adj 79.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$174kcash n/a
Positions207 / 1,083open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$642kbelow peak −$676kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 80.4% · shrunk toward 50%98
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 100
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | No | 180k | 93¢ | 96.7¢ | $174k | +$6,679 | −$4,605 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 840 | 11.9¢ | 18¢ | $151 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 10 | 94¢ | 90.5¢ | $8.66 | −$0.34 | $0 | |
| Spread: Patriots (-33.5) | Patriots | 192k | 63.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$122k | −$113 | |
| Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State | Mississippi State | 170k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$170 | $0 | |
| Jalen Hurts: 2+ Touchdowns | Yes | 143k | 21.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30.9k | $0 | |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz | Jazz | 142k | 22.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32.1k | $0 | |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Raptors | 109k | 51.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$55.9k | −$807 | |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 106k | 16.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17.9k | $0 | |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 101k | 46.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$46.5k | −$863 | |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 100.0k | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,000 | $0 | |
| Rams vs. Falcons | Rams | 94.2k | 24.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23.1k | −$15.5k | |
| Pelicans vs. Lakers | Pelicans | 86.2k | 37.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32.3k | $0 | |
| Red Wings vs. Kraken | Kraken | 80.7k | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$41.9k | $0 | |
| Cowboys vs. Lions | Cowboys | 78.6k | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,112 | −$5,059 | |
| Tigers vs. Mariners | Tigers | 78.0k | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,860 | −$2,412 | |
| Spurs vs. Jazz | Jazz | 77.6k | 25.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20.0k | −$11.5k | |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 75.3k | 53.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40.4k | +$283 | |
| Wizards vs. Magic | Wizards | 69.6k | 11.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,000 | $0 | |
| Warriors vs. Knicks | Warriors | 65.4k | 41.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27.0k | −$3,698 | |
| Duke vs. Virginia | Virginia | 60.3k | 54.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32.8k | $0 | |
| Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 60.0k | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,743 | $0 | |
| Nets vs. Mavericks | Nets | 53.5k | 24.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12.9k | $0 | |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Nuggets | 52.7k | 54.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28.9k | −$3,002 | |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | Khamzat Chimaev | 50.5k | 84.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42.5k | −$1,587 | |
| Knicks vs. Thunder | Knicks | 50.0k | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10,000 | $0 | |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves | Clippers | 46.6k | 17.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,306 | −$6,273 | |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 43.2k | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$694 | −$254 | |
| Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor | Tate | 42.8k | 84.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36.3k | $0 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | Yes | 42.3k | 39.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16.7k | −$505 | |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 42.3k | 90.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38.4k | −$2,797 | |
| Pacers vs. 76ers | Pacers | 40.5k | 35.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14.3k | $0 | |
| Bears vs. 49ers | Bears | 40.2k | 31.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12.6k | +$2,038 | |
| Nuggets vs. Wizards | Wizards | 38.7k | 30.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11.9k | $0 | |
| Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 36.7k | 51.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19.0k | −$10.6k | |
| Bruins vs. Sabres | Sabres | 35.1k | 57¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20.0k | $0 | |
| Spread: 49ers (-6.5) | Colts | 34.8k | 57.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20.0k | $0 | |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 34.6k | 50.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17.3k | −$68.7k | |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Cavaliers | 34.0k | 43.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14.9k | $0 | |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 32.8k | 43.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14.3k | $0 | |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 31.5k | 89.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28.2k | −$3,630 | |
| Vikings vs. Cowboys | Cowboys | 30.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | Yes | 28.4k | 10.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,979 | −$80 | |
| Will MEXC be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 28.0k | 12.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,600 | $0 | |
| Will another company be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 27.2k | 23.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,500 | $0 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 | Over | 26.6k | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13.3k | −$34 | |
| Houston vs. Baylor | Baylor | 24.1k | 42.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.3k | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 23.4k | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,200 | $0 | |
| Ducks vs. Senators | Ducks | 23.2k | 40.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,480 | −$293 | |
| Jazz vs. Nets | Nets | 23.1k | 41.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,573 | $0 | |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Spurs | 23.0k | 50.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11.7k | $0 | |
| Nets vs. Pistons | Pistons | 22.4k | 90.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20.4k | −$29.2k | |
| Thunder vs. Celtics | Thunder | 22.4k | 56.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12.6k | +$2,796 | |
| Will Anthony Joshua win via Decision? | Yes | 22.1k | 50.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11.1k | $0 | |
| Will Binance be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 22.0k | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,357 | $0 | |
| Suns vs. Rockets | Suns | 20.0k | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,881 | −$6.93 | |
| Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers | Mavericks | 19.8k | 39.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,881 | −$4,367 | |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | Under | 19.7k | 78¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15.3k | $0 | |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | Yes | 18.7k | 41.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,759 | −$1,154 | |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 18.5k | 73.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13.6k | +$14.5k | |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings | Kings | 17.8k | 33.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,961 | $0 | |
| Pelicans vs. Warriors | Pelicans | 17.7k | 28.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,110 | $0 | |
| Spread: Patriots (-30.5) | Jets | 17.5k | 90.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15.8k | $0 | |
| Hornets vs. Bucks | Hornets | 17.4k | 44.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,710 | $0 | |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | Netherlands | 16.9k | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,426 | −$126 | |
| Panthers vs. Devils | Panthers | 16.4k | 61.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.1k | $0 | |
| Trail Blazers vs. Pistons | Trail Blazers | 15.2k | 7.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,152 | $0 | |
| Spread: Thunder (-16.5) | Lakers | 15.1k | 81.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12.3k | −$69 | |
| Warriors vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 15.1k | 22.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,460 | $0 | |
| Spread: Lakers (-6.5) | Pelicans | 15.1k | 81.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12.3k | $0 | |
| North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Auburn Tigers | North Carolina State Wolfpack | 14.2k | 28.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,000 | $0 | |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | Germany | 14.0k | 72.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.2k | −$84 | |
| Will Gemini be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 13.4k | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$170 | $0 | |
| Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 13.3k | 20.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,687 | $0 | |
| Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Hofstra Pride | 13.1k | 36.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,750 | −$3,858 | |
| Eagles vs. Cowboys | Eagles | 12.6k | 91.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11.5k | $0 | |
| Canucks vs. Sharks | Sharks | 12.5k | 79.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10,000 | $0 | |
| Navy vs. Temple | Temple | 12.5k | 79.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,900 | −$63 | |
| 76ers vs. Hornets | Hornets | 11.9k | 83.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,996 | $0 | |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Suns | 11.9k | 27.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,319 | +$427 | |
| Pistons vs. Bucks | Pistons | 11.5k | 63¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,226 | $0 | |
| Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | Jazz | 11.3k | 8.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 | $0 | |
| Bari: Vitaliy Sachko vs Samuele Pieri | Vitaliy Sachko | 11.3k | 81.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,215 | −$1,788 | |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 11.2k | 77¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,609 | −$59 | |
| Capitals vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 11.0k | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,415 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | Down | 11.0k | 54.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,000 | $0 | |
| Bears vs. Commanders | Commanders | 10.9k | 79.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,650 | $0 | |
| Thunder vs. Warriors | Warriors | 10.8k | 19.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,071 | $0 | |
| Florida State vs. Stanford | Florida State | 10.7k | 37.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,056 | −$108 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | Up | 10.5k | 57.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,000 | $0 | |
| Kraken vs. Ducks | Ducks | 10.2k | 61.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,299 | −$20 | |
| Will the fight go the distance? | Yes | 10.0k | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,501 | −$236 | |
| Avalanche vs. Lightning | Avalanche | 10,000 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,300 | $0 | |
| Spread: Rockets (-14.5) | Rockets | 10,000 | 88¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,800 | $0 | |
| Will Ethena be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 9,947 | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$390 | $0 | |
| Predators vs. Kings | Predators | 9,653 | 51.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,000 | $0 | |
| Pacers vs. Hawks | Pacers | 9,504 | 63.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,036 | $0 | |
| Stetson Hatters vs. Lipscomb Bisons | Stetson Hatters | 9,435 | 31.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,009 | $0 | |
| Cavaliers vs. Nets | Nets | 9,400 | 25.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,380 | $0 | |
| Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves | Grizzlies | 9,194 | 29.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,689 | −$2,224 |
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