PnL all-time−$179vol $147k
PnL 30d−$12gains $1,730 · losses $1,754
PnL 7d−$12win rate 7d 40.0%
Win rate46.7%adj 48.0% · 30d 40.0%
Open value$657cash n/a
Positions7 / 37open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.5%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$131below peak −$95Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 46.7% · shrunk toward 50%20
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Downclosed+$2,117Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Downclosed+$2,115Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15? · Noclosed+$2,100Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? · Yesclosed+$1,050Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed+$680
Worst markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Upclosed−$2,117Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Upclosed−$2,115Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15? · Yesclosed−$2,100Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? · Noclosed−$1,050Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$691
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 650 | 50¢ | 97.3¢ | $632 | +$307 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 650 | 50¢ | 2.8¢ | $18 | −$307 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 15 | 54¢ | 48.9¢ | $7.24 | −$0.76 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | Yes | 25 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? | Yes | 22 | 16.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | Yes | 14 | 36.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.10 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | Yes | 12 | 42.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.09 |
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