sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,356

OrwellFactory

0xfaa…7cc9@simosini
PnL 10k+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$24.6kvol $3.18M
PnL 30d+$4,489gains $20.4k · losses $17.4k
PnL 7d−$7,997win rate 7d 62.5%
Win rate58.1%adj 57.8% · 30d 52.3%
Open value$46.8kcash n/a
Positions15 / 760open / all-time
Max drawdown−76.9%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$27.5kbelow peak −$13.5kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 58.1% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable96
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity23

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No15.0k50¢97¢$14.5k+$7,043$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes20.0k50¢62.5¢$12.5k+$2,500$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo20.0k50¢37.5¢$7,500−$2,500$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No12.7k45.5¢40.8¢$5,171−$601$0
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No3,00076¢86¢$2,580+$300$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No2,27465.9¢58.5¢$1,330−$167+$1.26
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No67694.2¢94.5¢$639+$2.03$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No6,1437¢9.5¢$584+$154$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes15.0k50¢3.1¢$458−$7,043$0
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes50078¢76¢$380−$9.95$0
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes50063¢60.5¢$303−$13$0
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?No56225.9¢53¢$298+$152+$3.90
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes20095.5¢93.5¢$187−$4.10$0
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No32649.8¢53¢$173+$10$0
Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?No48620.8¢32¢$155+$55$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?50¢261$13158%56
BUY NoWill Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?48¢28$1358%56
SELL NoWill Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?0.4¢1,000$4.0058%56
SELL NoWill Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?0.4¢1,000$4.0058%56
SELL NoWill Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?0.3¢1,000$3.0058%56
SELL NoWill Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?1.7¢13$0.2158%56
SELL NoWill Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?1¢21$0.2158%56
BUY NoWill Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?77¢390$30058%56
BUY NoWill Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?77¢2,900$2,23358%56
SELL NoWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?72¢5$3.6058%56
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?95.5¢200$19158%56
BUY NoWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?69¢100$6958%56
BUY NoWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?69¢100$6958%56
BUY NoWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?69¢47$3258%56
BUY NoWill Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?80¢12$9.8858%56
BUY YesVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?78¢500$39058%56
SELL NoWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?0.2¢105$0.2158%56
BUY NoWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?42¢0$0.0158%56
SELL NoWill Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?37¢57$2158%56
BUY NoWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?79¢1,000$79058%56