sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,587

MarvelousManou

0xfae…c12f
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,594vol $250k
PnL 30d+$1,031gains $1,288 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$44win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate97.6%adj 95.8% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$3,429cash n/a
Positions45 / 626open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

85/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 97.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 25

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,6111.8¢90.5¢$2,363+$2,316$0
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?Yes33897.5¢95¢$321−$8.66$0
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?Yes38379.4¢83.5¢$320+$16$0
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?Yes29978¢89¢$266+$33$0
Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,5981.8¢0.9¢$23−$23−$0.12
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes9671.8¢2.1¢$20+$2.52+$793
Will Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,5981.8¢0.7¢$17−$30−$0.15
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Yes2067¢64.5¢$13−$0.50$0
Will Casey Hux win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,6111.8¢0.5¢$12−$35$0
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,5751.8¢0.5¢$12−$34−$0.11
Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,6061.8¢0.4¢$10−$36−$0.04
Will Malik Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,6061.8¢0.4¢$10−$36−$0.05
Will Kevin Montero win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,6061.8¢0.3¢$7.82−$39−$0.01
Will Clayton Johnson win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,6111.8¢0.3¢$6.53−$40$0
Will Marcus Richardson win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,6061.8¢0.2¢$5.21−$41−$0.06
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,6111.8¢0.2¢$3.92−$43$0
Will Brandon Perce win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,5111.8¢0.2¢$3.77−$41−$0.79
Will Ronn Perez win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,0061.8¢0.2¢$3.01−$33−$7.94
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes1,9421.8¢0.2¢$2.91−$32−$6.87
Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,6111.8¢0.1¢$1.31−$45$0
Will Mike Turitto win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,6061.8¢0.1¢$1.30−$45−$0.06
Will Christopher Wood win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,6061.8¢0.1¢$1.30−$45−$0.04
Will Josh Harward win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,6041.8¢0.1¢$1.30−$45−$0.06
Will Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,5491.8¢0.1¢$1.27−$44−$0.80
Will Brad Ledford win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes2,2631.8¢0.1¢$1.13−$39−$5.33

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?97.5¢338$33098%85Sharp
BUY YesWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?79.4¢383$30498%85Sharp
BUY YesWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?78¢299$23398%85Sharp
BUY YesKatie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?99.6¢80$8098%85Sharp
BUY YesKatie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?99.9¢2,298$2,29698%85Sharp
BUY YesNext White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?67¢20$1398%85Sharp
BUY NoWill DeMar DeRozan play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27?88.5¢1,000$88598%85Sharp
BUY NoWill DeMar DeRozan play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27?88.5¢1,000$88598%85Sharp
BUY NoWill DeMar DeRozan play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27?88.5¢1,000$88598%85Sharp
BUY NoWill anyone say "Prize" 3+ times during Big Brother E23?99.9¢40$4098%85Sharp
BUY YesWill anyone say "Power" 10+ times during Big Brother E23?99.9¢40$4098%85Sharp
BUY YesWill anyone say "Trust" during Big Brother E23?99¢195$19398%85Sharp
BUY NoWill the Chicago Sky make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?99.9¢1,300$1,29998%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Matthew NeSmith finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Utah Championship?99¢10$9.9098%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Stuart MacDonald finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Utah Championship?99¢55$5498%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Joshua Creel finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Utah Championship?99¢55$5498%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Luke Guthrie finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Utah Championship?99¢55$5498%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Logan McAllister finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Utah Championship?99¢55$5498%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Kevin Dougherty finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Utah Championship?99¢55$5498%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Justin Suh finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Utah Championship?99¢55$5498%85Sharp