PnL all-time+$442vol $78.5k
PnL 30d−$194gains $0 · losses $364
PnL 7d+$1.51win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.6%adj 52.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$133cash n/a
Positions5 / 35open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$477below peak −$755Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale38
Adjusted win rateraw 53.6% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d84
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
TikTok sale announced in 2025? · Yesclosed+$985Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22? · Yesclosed+$488No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$213US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · Yesclosed+$198Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$175
Worst markets
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yesclosed−$806Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Noclosed−$423Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yesclosed−$179Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yesclosed−$130Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$113
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 234 | 31¢ | 42.5¢ | $99 | +$27 | +$32 | |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 68¢ | 31¢ | $31 | −$37 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 1,400 | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $2.10 | −$3.50 | $0 |
Recent trades
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